177  
FNUS76 KMFR 170405  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTONWOOD PILES RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
805 PM PST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON NOVEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING INTERMITTENT RAIN/SNOW TO  
THE BURN SITE MONDAY, BUT IT WILL BE MOSTLY LIGHT (LITTLE OR NO  
SNOW ACCUMULATION). HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TUESDAY AND THINGS DRY  
OUT. DRY WEATHER REMAINS INTO WEDNESDAY, THEN THE NEXT WEATHER  
SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY WITH A CHANCE OF  
PRECIP, BUT CONFIDENCE IN THE SPECIFICS (EXACT TIMING/AMOUNTS) IS  
LOW AT THIS TIME.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. INTERMITTENT LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW  
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF PRECIP: 70 PERCENT.  
RAIN AMOUNT: TRACE-0.10".  
SNOW AMOUNT: TRACE.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.4 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MIN HUMIDITY........73-83 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S 2-4 MPH. GUSTS TO 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........S 5-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH IN THE MORNING  
EASING TO 3-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 10-15 MPH.  
CWR.................42 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........A 20% CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW IN THE EVENING, THEN  
PARTIAL CLEARING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE BECOMING N 1-3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE BECOMING N 3-5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N 5-8 MPH.  
CWR.................2 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE OR N 0-2 MPH BECOMING N 1-3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE OR N 3-5 MPH BECOMING N 3-7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5-10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...JOSE J. CASTILLO JR.  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526081.0/MFR  
.DELDT 11/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSE.CASTILLO@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab OR Page
The Nexlab CA Page Main Text Page