588  
FNUS76 KMFR 171837  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR INCOMING HELI #1 TILLER RS...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
1037 AM PST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 PST ON NOVEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH SHOWERS DECREASING  
IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL BRING LOWER CEILINGS  
OF 1000-2000 FEET THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE SUPPORTS CEILINGS  
LIFTING IN THE LATE AFTERNOON (AROUND 3PM) TO AROUND 2500-3500 FEET,  
BEFORE LOWERING AGAIN IN THE EVENING.  
 
A BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS IS EXPECTED TUESDAY WITH BELOW NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS. LOW CLOUDS (200-600 FEET CEILINGS)  
AND AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING, LIFTING IN THE  
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON (AROUND 1-2PM).  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.3 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS UP TO 2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH.  
CWR.................15 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY MC MC MC CDY MC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 10 10  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 44 45 45 46 45 45  
RH..............99 100 100 98 98 98 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 8 8 10 10 8  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 3 3 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 4 3 3 5 6 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 9 9  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC CDY MC MC CDY MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............45 44 43 44 44 44 44 44 43 44 43 41  
RH..............98 97 96 96 96 93 96 96 95 93 95 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 4 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 6 6  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 41 40 40 40 42 44 44 45 45 45 43  
RH..............95 96 98 100 100 100 94 87 84 83 84 86  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 7  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.4 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN LESTER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2526156.0/MFR  
.DELDT 11/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ORRIC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab OR Page
The Nexlab CA Page Main Text Page