718  
FNUS76 KMFR 180208  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAGGY PEAK LANDING PILES-OAK KNOLL...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
608 PM PST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON NOVEMBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TUESDAY AND THINGS DRY OUT.  
DRY WEATHER REMAINS INTO WEDNESDAY, THEN THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM  
WILL MOVE IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH INCREASING WINDS  
AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE THE BURN  
SITE ELEVATION.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 1-2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-3 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1-2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 2-3 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 4 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE (25-30 PERCENT) OF RAIN  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 2-3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5-6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS  
REQUESTED BY...PHILIP PARASHIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526153.0/MFR  
.DELDT 11/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL FRANK.HENDERSON@USDA.GOV,PHILIP.PARASHIS@USDA.GOV  
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