601  
FNUS76 KMFR 180230  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MONUMENT ROCK RX...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
630 PM PST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TUESDAY AND THINGS DRY OUT.  
DRY WEATHER REMAINS INTO WEDNESDAY, THEN THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM  
WILL MOVE IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH INCREASING WINDS  
AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE THE BURN  
SITE ELEVATION. WINDS AT THE BURN SITE WILL BE DIFFICULT TO PREDICT,  
WITH FLOWS ALONG THE ESCARPMENT DIFFERING BY UP TO 180 DEGREES AND  
10-15 MPH FROM WINDS OVER THE RIDGELINE. THIS COULD RESULT IN  
VARIABLE GUSTS AND EDDIES AT ANY TIME, BUT ESPECIALLY LATE WEDNESDAY  
INTO THURSDAY AS THE FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES. BE VIGILANT FOR  
QUICK DIRECTION CHANGES AND SPORADIC GUSTS.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2-4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 4-6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 75 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH 1-2 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 2-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY, BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT  
CHANCE (15 PERCENT) OF RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 2-3 MPH. OCCASIONAL SOUTHWEST  
GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH. OCCASIONAL SOUTHWEST  
GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS  
REQUESTED BY...MATT HASKINS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525898.1/MFR  
.DELDT 11/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MHASKINS@BLM.GOV,JLUDWIG@BLM.GOV,STHAMES@BLM.GOV  
 
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