543  
FNUS76 KMFR 180244  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MANZANITA MACHINE PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
644 PM PST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON NOVEMBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
THERE WILL BE A BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS WITH BELOW  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH BELOW  
FREEZING MORNING TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER IS  
ANTICIPATED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY, BRINGING RAINFALL  
TO THE BURN SITE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
THURSDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...HERMANSEN  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS CROWL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525879.2/MFR  
.DELDT 11/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.CROWL@USDA.GOV  
 
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