755  
FNUS76 KMFR 180310  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MANZANITA MACHINE PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
710 PM PST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON NOVEMBER 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
ANOTHER ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED  
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY, BRINGING MOSTLY SNOW TO THE  
BURN SITE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. AROUND AN INCH IS  
EXPECTED TO FALL. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL REALLY PICK UP WEDNESDAY  
NIGHT BEFORE SLIGHTLY WEAKENING AND TURNING TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH  
THE DAY THURSDAY.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW (35 TO 50 PERCENT)  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 4 MPH, GUSTS UP TO 6 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH, GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW (40 TO 55 PERCENT)  
THROUGH THE DAY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.4 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MIN HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH.  
CWR.................41 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...HERMANSEN  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS CROWL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526214.0/MFR  
.DELDT 11/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.CROWL@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab OR Page
The Nexlab CA Page Main Text Page