075  
FNUS76 KMFR 180433  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBERED MOUNTAIN PILE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
833 PM PST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON NOVEMBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
THERE WILL BE A BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS WITH BELOW  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH NEAR TO  
BELOW FREEZING MORNING TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER  
IS ANTICIPATED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY, BRINGING RAINFALL  
TO THE BURN SITE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL ALSO PICK UP AS THEY  
COME FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAINFALL  
AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
INTO EARLY THURSDAY. RAIN CHANCES DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY  
AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL COME FRIDAY.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY  
FOG OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 2 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 3 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
THURSDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.  
LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...HERMANSEN  
REQUESTED BY...MITCHELL MURPHY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526182.0/MFR  
.DELDT 11/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JEFFREY.GOUVEIA@USDA.GOV,MITCHELL.MURPHY@USDA.GOV  
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