178  
FNUS76 KMFR 040235  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTONWOOD PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
635 PM PST WED DEC 3 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON DECEMBER 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
DRY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO THURSDAY. AN UPPER JET  
WILL INCREASE WIND SPEEDS THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH GUSTY WINDS  
DEVELOPING BY THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WIND SPEEDS EASE SLIGHTLY  
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING, THEN PEAK IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
VERY SLIGHT CHANCES (10-40%) FOR RAIN SHOWERS ARE IN THE FORECAST  
FOR THE SPOT LOCATION IN THIS TIMEFRAME. SNOW LEVELS OF 7000-8000  
FEET WILL PREVENT SUBSTANTIAL SNOWFALL.  
 
BEYOND THE SPOT PERIOD, SLIGHT CHANCES (10-30%) FOR PRECIPITATION  
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE DISSIPATING INTO NEXT WEEK.  
GUSTY WINDS MAY CONTINUE INTO MIDWEEK, BUT MORE INFORMATION  
ABOUT THIS UPPER JET WILL HELP TO CLARIFY THOSE CHANCES.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39 TO 42 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 TO 45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AT 12 TO 15 MPH WITH MORNING GUSTS UP  
TO 20 MPH BECOMING WEST AT 18 TO 20 MPH  
WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT 12 TO 14 MPH BECOMING WEST AT  
20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF VERY LIGHT  
RAIN SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30 TO 33 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 TO 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AT 22 TO 24 MPH WITH EVENING GUSTS  
UP TO 35 MPH BECOMING WEST AT 13 TO 15 MPH  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH EARLY FRIDAY  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT 23 TO 26 MPH BECOMING WEST AT  
12 TO 15 MPH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39 TO 42 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........80 TO 84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AT 15 TO 18 MPH WITH MORNING GUSTS UP TO  
25 MPH BECOMING WEST AT 26 TO 30 MPH WITH  
AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT 12 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST AT  
30 TO 33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...DALDRUP  
REQUESTED BY...JOSE J. CASTILLO JR.  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526890.1/MFR  
.DELDT 12/04/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SCOTT.HAVEL@USDA.GOV,JOSE.CASTILLO@USDA.GOV  
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