364  
FNUS76 KMFR 050138  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTONWOOD PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
538 PM PST THU DEC 4 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON DECEMBER 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE RIDGE AND INTO THE REGION  
TODAY INTO FRIDAY. 40-60% CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION ARE IN THE  
FORECAST FOR THE SPOT LOCATION ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND MAY APPROACH ONE-QUARTER OF AN INCH  
IN THIS TIMEFRAME. CURRENTLY, SHOWER CHANCES ARE MINIMAL (0-20%)  
BEYOND FRIDAY NIGHT. SNOW LEVELS OF 8500-9000 FEET WILL MINIMIZE  
CHANCES FOR SNOW ON FRIDAY. SNOW LEVELS LOWER TO 6000 FT ON  
SATURDAY, BUT RAINFALL SHOULD BE OVER BY THEN. GUSTY N/NW WINDS  
ARE DEVELOPING TONIGHT AND LOOK TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AND  
SATURDAY.  
 
WHILE ACTIVITY CONTINUES BEYOND THE WEEKEND, PRECIPITATION WILL  
MOSTLY STAY WEST OF THE CASCADES. GUSTY WINDS MAY RETURN ON  
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38 TO 42 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........93 TO 95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST AT 17 TO 20 MPH WITH MORNING GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH BECOMING WEST AT 24 TO 27 MPH  
WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AT 17 TO 20 MPH BECOMING WEST AT  
23 TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING,  
WITH CHANCES DECREASING INTO EARLY SATURDAY  
MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29 TO 31 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 TO 98 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AT 23 TO 26 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
40 MPH INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT 22 TO 25 MPH INTO EARLY SATURDAY  
MORNING.  
CWR.................60 PERCENT IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO  
10 PERCENT BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38 TO 42 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 TO 68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AT 16 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH  
POSSIBLE INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT 17 TO 20 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...DALDRUP  
REQUESTED BY...JOSE J. CASTILLO JR.  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526890.2/MFR  
.DELDT 12/05/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SCOTT.HAVEL@USDA.GOV,JOSE.CASTILLO@USDA.GOV  
 
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