162  
FNUS76 KMFR 080319  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR IRSC HAPPY CAMP PILES...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
719 PM PST SUN DEC 7 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON DECEMBER 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A WARM FRONT WILL LINGER OVER WESTERN OREGON ON  
MONDAY, WITH RAIN FOCUSED WELL TO THE NORTH. BUT, THERE IS A  
CHANCE OF LIGHT, DRIZZLY SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND SLIGHT CHANCE  
IN THE AFTERNOON. AFTER A BRIEF BREAK MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY  
MORNING, A SIMILAR FRONT WILL FOLLOW A SIMILAR TRACK AND MAKE ITS  
CLOSEST APPROACH DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PRODUCE A  
VERY SIMILAR CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN ON TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.  
DRY CONDTIONS WITH A TREND OF DECREASING HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED  
FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.  
 
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY, BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (50-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN,  
MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 1 TO 4 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 45 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
 
FORECASTER...WEYGAND  
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER SCHLOSSERPRUKOP  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527133.0/MFR  
.DELDT 12/08/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WARE@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.SCHLOSSERPRUKOP@USDA.GOV  
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