973
FWUS46 KMFR 141011
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
211 AM PST SUN DEC 14 2025
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC SC FW FW BK BK OV BK BK OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 15 30 30 20 20 50 60 85 60 60 80 80 80 85 70
TEMPERATURE 39 39 47 52 50 41 43 40 41 40 41 42 40 40 40 41 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 40 43 39
WIND DIR S S SW S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 16 13 16 16 16 17 17 19 18 18 21 21 21 20 24 23
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 30 30 60 60 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.2 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.1 7.3 8.9 9.5 10.0 10.5 10.3 10.1 9.8 9.4 8.8 8.4
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC SC FW FW BK OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 20 15 30 30 20 25 50 70 90 55 55 75 75 80 80 70
TEMPERATURE 34 34 48 52 48 41 41 40 41 39 45 45 40 39 39 40 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 39 46 37
WIND DIR SE SE SE S S S SE S S S S SW SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 10 12 10 11 12 12 12 12 14 12 13 16 16 16 14 17 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 30 30 60 60 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.2 6.9 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.3 8.9 9.6 10.1 10.5 10.3 10.1 9.8 9.4 8.8 8.4
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC SC FW FW BK BK OV BK BK OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 15 35 30 20 20 50 55 85 60 60 80 80 80 85 70
TEMPERATURE 39 39 45 50 49 43 43 40 40 41 41 41 41 40 41 41 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 40 42 39
WIND DIR S S SW S SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 16 13 16 16 16 17 17 19 18 18 21 21 21 20 24 23
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 30 30 60 60 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.2 6.9 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.3 8.9 9.5 10.0 10.5 10.3 10.1 9.8 9.4 8.8 8.4
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC SC FW FW SC BK OV BK BK OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 20 20 35 35 25 25 50 60 85 60 60 80 80 80 80 65
TEMPERATURE 30 31 38 42 40 37 36 36 35 35 35 35 33 33 32 33 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 35 35 32
WIND DIR SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 20 21 23 27 26 27 26 29 35 34 33 37 41 41 40 42 44
WIND GUST (MPH) 41 41 54 48 51 47 55 67 72 65 75 88 86 86 79 89
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 40 40 60 60 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.3 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.1 7.1 7.4 9.0 9.6 10.0 10.5 10.3 10.1 9.8 9.3 8.8 8.4
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC SC FW FW SC BK OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 10 10 40 35 15 25 45 55 70 55 55 80 80 80 85 75
TEMPERATURE 37 38 44 48 47 42 41 39 39 39 41 42 40 40 41 41 41
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 39 43 40
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 11 12 11 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 17 16 16 12 18 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 30 30 60 60 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.9 6.9 7.1 8.9 9.5 9.9 10.5 10.3 10.2 9.7 9.2 8.8 8.3
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC SC FW SC SC BK OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 20 10 40 30 25 30 40 60 80 60 60 85 85 85 75 70
TEMPERATURE 42 42 46 51 49 46 45 43 43 43 44 47 45 46 47 47 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 43 48 45
WIND DIR S SW S S S S S S S SW S SE S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 8 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 6 4 3 3 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 30 30 80 80 60 60 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 7.0 7.2 9.1 9.7 10.1 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.8 9.5 8.9 8.4
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC SC SC SC BK OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 25 15 50 40 25 35 55 75 90 65 65 80 80 80 70 65
TEMPERATURE 42 43 49 53 51 47 46 43 44 45 46 46 44 44 44 44 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 43 46 41
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 10 11 10 12 12 12 12 13 14 12 13 17 16 17 16 17 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 40 40 60 60 30 30 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.4 9.3 9.8 10.1 10.5 10.3 10.1 9.7 9.4 8.8 8.4
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK SC BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 45 65 40 50 40 55 70 80 85 95 95 95 95 90 85 90
TEMPERATURE 35 35 42 48 46 42 42 41 42 40 41 42 40 40 39 39 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 40 42 36
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 16 16 14 14 17 17 17 19 21 20 25 27 23 19 21 21 21
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 10 5 20 30 50 60 100 100 100 100 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R S S R R R R R R S R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.23 0.17 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 6.4 6.7 7.1 7.3 7.5 8.5 9.1 9.3 10.1 10.4 10.4 9.9 8.9 8.0 7.5 7.4
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK SC BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 40 65 45 60 45 45 60 70 80 95 95 95 95 85 85 85
TEMPERATURE 33 34 41 46 45 40 40 39 40 39 40 41 40 39 38 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 39 41 36
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 14 14 14 14 16 17 17 19 21 20 25 27 23 19 21 24 21
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 10 5 20 20 40 60 90 90 90 90 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S R R R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.16 0.13 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 6.3 6.7 7.1 7.3 7.5 8.4 9.0 9.3 10.1 10.4 10.4 10.0 8.9 8.0 7.5 7.4
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC BK SC SC SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 30 50 55 50 30 35 45 70 85 90 90 95 95 85 85 80
TEMPERATURE 35 34 42 52 50 44 43 42 42 42 44 48 46 45 44 44 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 41 48 41
WIND DIR S SE SE S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 6 5 6 8 6 9 9 9 10 10 11 14 13 13 10 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 5 5 0 10 20 40 80 80 90 90 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.09 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 6.7 6.7 6.9 7.1 7.4 8.3 9.3 9.5 10.2 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.0 8.3 7.9 7.7
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 45 55 50 45 40 40 55 75 80 95 95 95 95 90 85 85
TEMPERATURE 38 37 43 49 48 45 44 42 42 42 42 42 41 42 41 42 40
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 41 42 38
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 14 16 16 16 17 18 17 20 23 20 24 27 21 19 20 21 23
WIND GUST (MPH) 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 20 5 20 40 60 60 100 100 90 90 50 50 50
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R R R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.21 0.13 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.6 6.7 7.0 7.2 7.5 9.0 9.2 9.4 10.1 10.4 10.4 9.8 8.8 8.0 7.5 7.4
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 50 60 50 45 40 40 60 75 80 95 95 100 100 90 85 90
TEMPERATURE 37 37 42 49 47 45 44 42 42 42 42 42 41 41 40 41 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 41 42 38
WIND DIR S S S SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 16 16 16 16 17 18 17 20 23 21 25 27 21 19 21 20 21
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 20 5 20 40 60 60 100 100 90 90 50 50 50
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.24 0.14 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 6.5 6.7 7.0 7.3 7.6 9.3 9.2 9.4 10.1 10.4 10.4 9.6 8.7 7.9 7.3 7.2
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE SUNDAY 12/14/25 MONDAY 12/15/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 25 50 55 40 45 50 65 85 85 85 85 90 90 85 80 80
TEMPERATURE 42 42 48 52 52 50 47 45 45 44 44 44 43 43 42 43 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 44 44 41
WIND DIR SW SW SW S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 11 12 12 13 13 13 13 17 18 14 14 20 18 17 13 18 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 5 5 0 5 20 20 70 70 60 60 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.9 7.2 9.1 9.6 9.6 9.8 10.3 10.5 10.3 9.9 9.1 8.4 8.0 7.7
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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