399  
FNUS76 KMFR 180530  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PANKEY...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
930 PM PST WED DEC 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON DECEMBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH OF THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING.  
LIGHT PRECIP AROUND IN THE EARLY MORNING SHOULD TAPER OFF OR EVEN END FOR  
A WHILE. IT WILL TURN QUITE WINDY (S-SW) WITH PARTIAL SUN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
STILL SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AROUND, BUT SNOW LEVELS WILL BE VERY HIGH.  
THE FRONT MOVES BACK SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH A PERIOD OF  
WETTING RAINFALL AND HIGH SNOW LEVELS. AMOUNTS PROBABLY 0.50-0.75". SNOW  
LEVELS DROP AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT, BUT PRECIP WILL BE ENDING. COULD BE A  
DUSTING. PRECIP TAPERS OFF/ENDS ON SATURDAY, BUT THERE COULD BE MORE  
RAIN/SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.  
 
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH A 70% CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY, THEN  
BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS. VERY WINDY. RAIN AMOUNT: TRACE-0.05".  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65-71 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO 10-20 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........S 10-15 MPH INCREASING TO 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 20-30 MPH.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20% CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN CLOUDY WITH A NEAR 100% CHANCE OF  
RAIN LATE. VERY WINDY. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.05-0.15".  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....S 10-20 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........S 15-25 MPH. GUSTS TO 45 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S-SW 25-40 MPH.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY, WINDY. NEAR 100% CHANCE OF RAIN. A 20% CHANCE  
OF SNOW TOWARD EVENING. SNOW LEVEL LOWERING TO THE  
BURN ELEVATION AT NIGHT. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.30-0.60".  
LITTLE OR NO SNOW UNTIL NIGHTTIME. COULD BE A DUSTING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MIN HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SW BECOMING W 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH, EASING TO  
5-10 MPH BY EVENING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SW BECOMING W 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH, EASING TO  
10-20 MPH BY EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW-W 25-40 MPH EASING TO 15-25 MPH.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...JOSE J. CASTILLO JR.  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527533.3/MFR  
.DELDT 12/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSE.CASTILLO@USDA.GOV  
 
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