479
FNUS76 KMFR 190038
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR THOMAS CREEK ROADSIDE PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
438 PM PST THU DEC 18 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON DECEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST FRIDAY
DISCUSSION
STRONG WINDS, RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW WILL ACCOMPANY
A FRONT THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY. PRECIP AMOUNTS GENERALLY 0.40-0.80"
WITH 1-3" OF SNOW. SNOW LEVELS DROP AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT, BUT PRECIP WILL
END. COULD BE A FRESH DUSTING IN THE EVENING. PRECIP TAPERS OFF/ENDS ON
SATURDAY, BUT RAIN/SNOW IS LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE WEATHER
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ACTIVE INTO NEXT WEEK.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. 100% CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
SNOW LEVEL..........HOVERING NEAR THE BURN ELEVATION (~6500 FEET).
PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.40-0.80".
SNOW AMOUNT.........1-2" ABOVE 6500 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....TEMPERATURES STEADY IN THE LOW TO MID 30S.
MIN HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDY. SW 15-25 WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THE
MORNING, EASING TO 10-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SW 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH IN
THE MORNING, EASING TO 15-25 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 35-55 MPH, EASING TO 25-35 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. 70% CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE EVENING
ENDING BY 2200.
SNOW LEVEL..........DROPPING BELOW THE BURN ELEVATION IN THE
EVENING.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......TRACE-0.10".
SNOW AMOUNT.........1" OR LESS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WSW 6-12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WSW 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....W 15-25 MPH EASING TO 10-20 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20% CHANCE OF SNOW LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-38.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-84 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SW 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
20 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SW 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15-25 MPH. GUSTS TO 35
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20-30 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW TAYLOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527513.4/MFR
.DELDT 12/19/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANDREW.TAYLOR2@USDA.GOV
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