111  
FNUS76 KMFR 220032  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR THOMAS CREEK ROADSIDE PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
432 PM PST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON JANUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
WE'LL MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA THE NEXT  
COUPLE OF DAYS. HIGH PRESSURE AND A STEEP INVERSION THURSDAY WILL  
BRING MOSTLY LIGHT TERRAIN-DRIVEN FLOWS AND POOR VENTILATION. A  
DISTURBANCE COMING IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY COULD BRING A SLIGHT  
UPTICK IN NORTHERLY WINDS, COLDER DAYTIME TEMPS AND BETTER  
AFTERNOON MIXING. THE COLDER AIR MASS WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND  
WITH COLD NIGHTS, NORTHERLY AFTERNOON BREEZES SATURDAY, SHIFTING TO  
SOUTHERLY ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIP CHANCES REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE  
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (SOME HIGH CLOUDS).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SE 1-3 MPH BECOMING N AFTER 1100.  
WIND (20 FT)........SE 3-6 MPH BECOMING N AFTER 1100. PEAK GUSTS  
12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 5-10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (HIGH CLOUDS).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....N 1-3 MPH BECOMING SE 0-2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........N 2-6 MPH BECOMING SE 1-3 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N 6 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (HIGH CLOUDS), THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY. COLDER.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....E 1-2 MPH BECOMING NE 2-5 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........E 2-5 MPH BECOMING NE 5-10 MPH. PEAK GUSTS  
16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NE 10-15 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW TAYLOR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600830.0/MFR  
.DELDT 01/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANDREW.TAYLOR2@USDA.GOV  
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