243  
FWUS46 KMFR 260911  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
111 AM PST MON JAN 26 2026  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC BK SC SC SC BK BK BK SC BK OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 45 65 30 40 50 50 50 55 50 55 70 80 80 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 26 26 29 31 31 27 26 27 27 28 31 32 31 30 31 31 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 25 34 28  
WIND DIR SW N S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW W  
WIND (MPH) 9 6 8 11 11 9 11 13 17 23 29 33 28 25 23 11 9  
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 52 47  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 50 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.03  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.8 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC BK FW SC SC BK BK BK SC BK OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 45 60 25 40 50 50 55 55 50 50 70 80 80 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 23 23 31 33 33 27 26 26 26 27 32 34 31 28 29 28 26  
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 23 36 24  
WIND DIR SE E SE SE SE SE S SE S S S S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 8 8 5 9 10 13 18 21 24 21 19 17 8 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 50 50 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.03  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.7 3.8 4.2 4.8 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.8 5.0  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC BK SC SC SC BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 50 65 30 40 50 50 50 60 50 55 70 80 80 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 26 26 29 31 32 28 27 27 27 28 31 32 31 30 30 31 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 26 34 28  
WIND DIR W W W SW W SW S S S S S S S SW SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 9 6 8 11 11 8 11 13 17 24 29 32 28 25 23 11 9  
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 52 47  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 50 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.7 3.8 4.2 4.8 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC BK SC SC SC BK BK BK SC BK OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 50 65 30 45 45 55 55 55 50 55 75 80 75 70 60  
TEMPERATURE 18 18 21 24 24 20 19 20 19 20 22 24 23 24 23 23 23  
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 18 26 21  
WIND DIR S S S S S SW SW SW SW S S S SW SW W W W  
WIND (MPH) 13 12 13 17 17 13 17 20 24 32 41 50 46 42 40 17 14  
WIND GUST (MPH) 42 55 71 96 87 80 86  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 50 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.03  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.6 3.7 4.0 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.8 5.0  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC OV SC BK BK SC BK BK SC BK OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 50 75 45 60 50 50 60 60 45 55 70 80 75 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 26 25 29 32 32 29 27 28 28 28 31 33 32 31 30 31 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 27 34 29  
WIND DIR S SW S S SW SW S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 12 11 12 13 13 12 12 14 16 26 32 34 29 26 17 14 12  
WIND GUST (MPH) 52 55 47  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 50 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.02  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.8 3.9 4.3 5.0 4.9 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.5 4.7 4.9 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.7  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV SC BK FW SC SC BK BK BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 75 40 55 20 30 40 50 55 60 50 50 65 75 80 80 75  
TEMPERATURE 32 31 34 39 39 35 33 33 33 34 36 39 38 36 36 36 36  
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 32 41 34  
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SE S S S S S SE S W  
WIND (MPH) 4 3 5 6 6 4 5 5 5 9 13 17 16 10 5 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 70 70 50 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.5 3.8 4.3 4.9 4.9 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC BK FW SC SC BK BK BK SC BK BK OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 45 50 20 35 40 50 60 60 50 50 70 75 75 70 60  
TEMPERATURE 30 30 34 36 36 31 31 31 31 32 34 36 35 34 34 35 34  
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 30 38 32  
WIND DIR S S S S S S S SE S S S S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 11 10 10 11 12 11 11 12 13 21 25 28 26 20 17 11 10  
WIND GUST (MPH) 42 47  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 40 40 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.03  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.5 3.8 4.3 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.1  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC BK SC BK BK BK BK OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 40 55 45 60 55 60 55 70 60 55 55 75 75 80 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 26 24 32 36 36 30 27 26 26 27 32 36 35 31 31 29 29  
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 25 37 27  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW S SE E E E SE SE S S SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 5 5 6 9 9 10 14 19 18 18 24 19 8 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 50 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.4 3.2 3.6 4.6 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.0 4.0 4.4 5.2 5.5 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.8  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 55 60 55 70 55 60 55 70 60 55 55 75 75 80 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 25 23 30 35 35 29 25 24 24 24 30 34 34 31 30 28 27  
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 23 35 25  
WIND DIR SW SW S SW S S SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW W  
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 5 5 6 8 9 9 13 16 18 18 24 18 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 50 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.04 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.3 3.1 3.6 4.6 5.0 4.5 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.8 4.2 5.1 5.4 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.7  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 65 75 55 50 55 50 65 60 55 60 80 80 85 70 60  
TEMPERATURE 29 28 33 39 39 34 30 30 30 30 34 39 39 35 33 32 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 28 41 29  
WIND DIR S S S S S S SE E E SE SE S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 5 4 5 8 9 10 11 12 14 11 11 8 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 50 50 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.2 3.2 3.7 4.5 4.8 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.8 4.3 5.1 5.3 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.7  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 60 50 55 60 55 55 55 65 60 55 55 75 75 80 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 29 29 33 37 38 32 31 31 31 31 35 38 37 35 33 34 33  
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 29 39 31  
WIND DIR SW S S S S S SE SE SE E SE SE S SW SW S SW  
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 5 5 8 9 10 12 17 20 19 20 24 19 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 40 41  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.05 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.3 3.2 3.7 4.4 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.6 5.2 5.5 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.8  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 60 40 50 60 55 55 55 65 60 55 55 75 70 80 80 70  
TEMPERATURE 29 28 33 38 38 32 30 31 31 31 36 38 37 35 33 33 32  
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 29 40 30  
WIND DIR SW SW S SW S S SE SE SE E SE SE S SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 5 5 5 6 8 9 11 17 20 18 21 24 19 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.3 3.1 3.6 4.4 4.7 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.0 4.7 5.3 5.5 5.2 4.9 4.9 4.9  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 01/26/26 TUESDAY 01/27/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK OV SC BK SC BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 70 70 40 55 45 55 60 60 55 60 75 80 80 65 55  
TEMPERATURE 33 32 35 37 37 35 33 34 33 33 34 37 37 37 35 36 35  
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 32 40 33  
WIND DIR SW S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 13 13 12 9 9 14 17 18 19 27 32 32 26 25 21 16 14  
WIND GUST (MPH) 49 50  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 30 30 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.05 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.3 3.2 3.6 4.5 5.0 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.0 4.4 5.0 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.1 5.1  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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