041
FWUS46 KMFR 262217
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
217 PM PST MON JAN 26 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC BK BK OV OV BK OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 30 40 60 65 70 75 65 90 90 75 75 60 75 65 65 50
TEMPERATURE 30 26 26 26 27 27 29 29 29 27 27 26 27 27 29 32 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 31 25 33
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 16 10 11 16 17 23 29 33 28 25 24 24 18 13 12 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 54 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 90 90 60 60 30 30 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.03 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 3.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.9 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.7 5.1 5.7 6.0
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC BK BK BK OV BK OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 30 40 60 65 70 75 70 90 90 75 70 60 75 70 65 50
TEMPERATURE 31 25 25 25 26 26 31 31 29 26 25 24 24 24 30 33 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 24 33 22 35
WIND DIR S SE SE SE E E SE S S S S S S SE S S W
WIND (MPH) 11 12 14 16 20 24 24 24 21 19 18 18 13 11 9 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 80 80 60 60 20 20 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.7 4.8 4.7 5.0 5.7 6.0
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC BK BK OV OV BK OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 30 40 60 65 70 75 65 90 90 80 75 60 75 70 65 50
TEMPERATURE 31 26 26 27 27 27 29 29 29 27 27 26 27 27 29 31 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 31 25 33
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 16 11 12 16 17 24 29 32 28 25 24 24 18 14 12 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 54 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 90 90 60 60 30 30 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.32 0.03 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 3.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.8 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.7 5.1 5.7 6.0
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 30 40 55 65 65 75 75 90 90 75 75 55 70 65 65 50
TEMPERATURE 23 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 19 18 18 17 19 22 25 25
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 22 16 26
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW S S S S SW SW SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 21 16 17 21 25 33 41 50 46 42 40 37 27 26 23 21 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 57 71 96 86 81 79 67 48 57 54 44 41
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 90 90 60 60 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.02 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 3.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.8 5.1 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.7 5.1 5.7 6.0
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 30 35 50 65 70 70 75 90 90 75 75 75 75 65 60 50
TEMPERATURE 31 28 26 27 27 28 30 31 30 29 28 29 28 28 29 32 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 32 27 33
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S SE
WIND (MPH) 18 20 21 20 19 26 32 34 29 26 21 18 14 12 12 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 55 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 80 80 70 70 30 30 30 30 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.5 4.2 4.1 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.8 5.0 4.8 5.0 5.6 6.0
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC BK OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 25 40 50 60 70 65 60 90 90 75 75 75 85 75 60 40
TEMPERATURE 38 34 33 33 32 33 36 37 37 34 33 33 32 34 34 37 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 39 32 39
WIND DIR S S S SE SE S S S S S S S S S SE S SW
WIND (MPH) 9 9 9 9 9 10 19 17 16 10 6 5 5 3 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 90 90 60 60 30 30 30 30 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.24 0.02 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 1.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.1 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.7 5.0 5.6 5.9
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC BK BK OV BK OV OV BK BK BK OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 30 40 45 60 70 70 60 90 90 70 70 60 75 70 55 40
TEMPERATURE 34 31 30 30 31 32 33 33 33 31 30 30 30 31 34 37 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 34 29 38
WIND DIR S S SE SE S S S S S S S S SW SE S S S
WIND (MPH) 16 18 19 20 23 25 26 28 26 20 17 16 13 11 10 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 43 47 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 90 90 50 50 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.19 0.02 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 1.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.7 4.7 5.1 5.7 6.0
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 60 55 55 70 80 70 55 85 85 85 80 75 75 75 65 70
TEMPERATURE 35 28 27 26 26 26 31 35 34 30 28 28 27 27 30 34 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 36 26 34
WIND DIR SW SE SE SE S SE SE S SW S SW SW SW SW S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 12 10 12 12 13 16 20 21 18 24 20 18 16 13 12 14 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 80 60 60 40 40 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.21 0.04 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 2.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.7 4.2 4.2 4.0 4.0 3.9 4.3 4.8 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.9 5.4 5.7
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK OV OV SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 60 50 60 70 75 70 50 85 85 85 75 70 75 75 60 65
TEMPERATURE 34 27 25 24 23 24 29 33 32 29 27 27 26 26 29 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 23 34 25 35
WIND DIR S SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 12 10 11 12 12 14 17 19 18 24 20 19 17 13 12 14 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 80 60 60 40 40 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.22 0.05 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 2.2 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.7 4.0 4.6 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.8 5.4 5.7
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC BK OV OV SC OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 45 40 60 75 75 50 80 90 90 75 75 55 65 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 39 32 30 29 29 29 34 39 38 33 32 31 29 29 32 38 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 40 27 39
WIND DIR SE SE SE E E SE SE S SW S S SW S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 5 9 8 6 10 11 12 17 12 12 10 10 8 8 8 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 80 80 60 60 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.5 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.6 4.1 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.6 4.4 4.9 5.5 5.8
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC BK OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 50 50 55 70 80 50 60 90 90 80 75 70 70 70 65 70
TEMPERATURE 36 31 30 30 30 30 34 37 36 32 31 30 29 29 32 35 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 38 28 36
WIND DIR SW S SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 11 11 12 13 14 18 20 20 20 24 19 17 16 14 12 14 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 40 41
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 80 60 60 50 50 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.9 4.4 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.9 5.4 5.7
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 55 55 55 70 85 55 60 85 85 80 75 75 75 75 65 75
TEMPERATURE 37 31 30 30 30 30 34 38 37 32 31 30 29 29 32 35 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 39 29 36
WIND DIR SW S SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 11 11 12 13 14 18 20 19 21 24 20 16 16 14 12 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 80 70 70 50 50 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.06 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.5 5.1 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.9 5.4 5.6
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 50 50 65 70 65 80 80 85 85 75 60 55 70 75 65 60
TEMPERATURE 37 33 33 33 32 33 33 35 34 32 31 31 30 31 33 37 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 36 29 39
WIND DIR S S S S S S SE SE S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 14 19 21 21 24 29 32 32 26 25 21 18 16 16 16 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 80 80 40 40 20 20 10 10 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.13 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.2 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.9 5.5 5.8
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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