541  
FWUS46 KMFR 271022  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
222 AM PST TUE JAN 27 2026  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK OV OV OV SC SC BK BK BK SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 75 70 65 70 95 80 50 35 50 55 50 40 55 75 80 75  
TEMPERATURE 26 27 29 29 29 28 27 26 25 26 29 31 33 30 31 32 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 24 33 29  
WIND DIR S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 17 23 29 33 28 25 24 24 18 13 12 12 11 9 11 20 13  
WIND GUST (MPH) 54  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 60 90 40 10 20 20 10 10 10 10 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.55 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 5.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 6.2 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.1 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.8 5.6 5.9 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.4  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC OV BK BK BK OV OV SC SC SC BK BK SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 70 70 65 70 90 80 45 35 50 55 55 40 55 75 85 75  
TEMPERATURE 25 26 31 33 29 26 26 24 23 23 29 32 32 26 27 28 27  
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 21 34 24  
WIND DIR E E SE S S S S S S SE S S W S W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 20 24 24 24 21 19 18 18 13 11 9 9 9 6 9 16 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 50 90 40 5 10 10 5 5 10 10 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 3.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 3.7 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.1 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.7 5.4 5.8 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK BK OV OV BK SC BK BK SC SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 75 70 65 70 95 80 50 35 55 60 50 40 55 75 80 75  
TEMPERATURE 26 27 29 29 29 28 27 26 25 26 28 31 33 30 31 32 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 24 33 29  
WIND DIR S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W S W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 17 24 29 32 28 25 24 24 18 14 12 12 11 9 11 20 13  
WIND GUST (MPH) 54  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 50 90 40 10 20 20 10 10 10 10 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.55 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 5.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 5.8 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.1 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.8 5.5 5.9 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.4  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV BK OV OV OV SC SC BK BK BK SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 70 70 65 70 90 80 50 40 50 55 55 40 60 75 85 75  
TEMPERATURE 19 20 20 20 20 20 19 17 16 17 21 24 25 22 24 24 24  
MAX/MIN TEMP 22 15 25 22  
WIND DIR S S S S SW SW SW SW W W W W W W SW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 25 33 41 50 46 42 40 37 27 26 23 21 20 16 24 32 26  
WIND GUST (MPH) 96 42  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 60 90 40 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.62 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 7.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 7.9 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.8 4.9 5.3 5.1 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.9 5.7 6.0 5.5 5.7 5.5 5.5  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK OV BK OV OV BK BK OV BK BK SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 65 65 70 60 90 80 65 65 75 60 55 45 55 75 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 27 28 30 31 30 29 29 28 25 26 28 32 32 30 29 30 29  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 25 32 28  
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S SE SW SW NW W  
WIND (MPH) 19 26 32 34 29 26 21 18 14 12 12 10 9 8 10 12 13  
WIND GUST (MPH) 55  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 40 90 40 5 30 30 30 30 10 10 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 3.7 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.1 4.9 4.4 4.3 4.6 5.2 5.7 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.2  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC OV BK BK OV OV BK BK SC BK BK BK SC BK BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 75 65 55 75 90 70 60 45 65 65 55 40 55 70 80 80  
TEMPERATURE 32 33 36 38 36 34 34 33 32 32 33 37 38 36 36 37 36  
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 31 38 35  
WIND DIR SE S S S S S S S S S SE S SW N N NW N  
WIND (MPH) 9 10 19 17 16 10 6 5 5 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 60 80 40 5 20 20 30 30 10 10 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03 0.47 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 2.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 2.7 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.3 4.1 4.6 5.2 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK OV OV BK SC SC BK BK BK SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 75 65 60 75 85 55 30 35 65 60 55 40 60 75 80 80  
TEMPERATURE 30 31 33 35 32 32 31 29 29 29 33 36 37 34 34 36 35  
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 28 37 33  
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SW SE S S S S W NW W  
WIND (MPH) 23 25 26 28 26 20 17 16 13 11 10 9 9 8 9 16 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 47  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 60 70 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 2.5 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.0 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.7 5.4 5.8 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 70 50 75 85 85 80 85 85 60 65 70 75 85 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 26 26 31 35 34 30 28 27 26 26 30 33 33 30 29 30 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 25 33 28  
WIND DIR S SE SE S SW S SW SW SW SW S SW SW S SW S SW  
WIND (MPH) 13 16 20 21 18 24 20 18 16 13 12 14 13 11 11 18 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 20 80 20 50 40 40 40 40 40 40 70 70 60  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.09 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.08  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 3.0 0.2 0.7  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.0 4.0 4.3 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.6 5.2 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV SC OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 70 45 75 85 85 75 80 80 60 60 75 75 85 80 80  
TEMPERATURE 24 24 29 34 33 29 27 26 25 25 29 33 33 29 28 29 29  
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 24 33 27  
WIND DIR SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW S SW SW S SW S SW  
WIND (MPH) 12 14 17 19 18 24 20 19 17 13 12 14 13 11 11 18 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 20 80 20 50 30 30 40 40 30 30 70 70 50  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 3.2 0.0 0.6  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.8 3.7 4.0 4.7 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.5 5.2 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV SC OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 80 45 75 85 85 80 60 55 55 55 60 55 65 85 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 30 30 34 39 38 34 32 31 29 29 31 37 39 34 32 33 33  
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 28 39 31  
WIND DIR E SE SE S SW S S SW S S S S SW SE S SW SE  
WIND (MPH) 10 11 12 17 12 12 10 10 8 8 8 6 5 5 6 6 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 30 80 30 30 20 20 30 30 30 30 60 60 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.7 3.7 4.3 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.5 4.2 4.1 4.4 5.2 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.2  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 65 70 85 85 75 70 75 75 60 65 65 70 85 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 30 30 34 37 36 32 30 29 28 28 31 35 35 33 32 34 33  
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 28 35 32  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE S SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW S SW S SW  
WIND (MPH) 14 18 20 20 20 24 19 17 16 14 12 14 13 12 12 18 14  
WIND GUST (MPH) 40  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 20 70 20 60 50 50 50 50 40 40 70 70 60  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.09 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 2.1 0.2 0.4  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.9 4.0 4.5 5.1 5.1 4.9 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.6 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 75 65 80 85 75 75 80 90 65 65 70 70 85 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 29 30 35 38 37 32 30 29 28 28 31 34 35 33 32 34 33  
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 28 35 32  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE S SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW S SW S S  
WIND (MPH) 14 18 20 19 21 24 20 16 16 14 12 14 14 12 12 17 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 20 70 20 60 50 50 50 50 40 40 70 70 60  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.13 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 2.9 0.3 0.4  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.9 4.0 4.6 5.1 5.2 4.9 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.6 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
 
 
DATE TUESDAY 01/27/26 WEDNESDAY 01/28/26  
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04  
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV BK SC FW BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 75 70 75 85 65 45 25 65 60 60 55 75 85 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 33 33 34 35 34 33 30 29 29 30 32 35 37 35 36 35 35  
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 28 37 35  
WIND DIR S S SE SE S S S S S S S S S S SW S S  
WIND (MPH) 24 29 32 32 26 25 21 18 16 16 16 12 12 12 16 19 17  
WIND GUST (MPH) 50  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 60 60 20 20 10 10 10 10 20 20 40 40 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 1.7 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.9 4.1 4.5 5.0 5.0 5.1 4.7 4.4 4.2 4.2 4.5 5.2 5.7 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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