912
FXUS66 KMFR 302211
AFDMFR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
211 PM PST FRI JAN 30 2026
DISCUSSION
A FEW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE CLIPPING COOS AND
WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. TODAY'S NEW RAINFALL
TOTALS WILL BE LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
LOW TO MID-50S IN MOST SPOTS WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S/LOW 60S
ALONG THE COAST. TONIGHT WILL BE A MILD NIGHT WITH MORE 30S TO LOW
40S WEST AND 20S TO LOW 30S EAST. THERE IS MORE CLEARING FORECAST
TONIGHT FOR AREAS EAST OF THE CASCADES, AND LOCATIONS NEAR
KLAMATH FALLS UP TO CENTRAL KLAMATH COUNTY COULD SEE LOW 20S.
SATURDAY WILL BE STATUS QUO WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS AS TODAY AND
LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.
THE NEXT CHANGE IS FORECAST TO COME THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND.
A TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST WILL MOVE CLOSER TO THE PNW SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL BE A FRONT LIKE THE RECENT ONES WHERE AREAS TO THE
NORTHWEST (COOS, WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTIES, CURRY COUNTY) SEE THE
MOST PRECIPITATION AND IT GETS DRIER HEADING FARTHER INLAND. THE 24-
HOUR PROB FOR 0.01" OF RAIN BETWEEN 10 PM SATURDAY AND 10 PM SUNDAY
ARE AS FOLLOWS: NORTH BEND 100%, ROSEBURG 93%, MEDFORD 30%, KLAMATH
FALLS 3%. THIS TREND IS SIMILAR IN THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE
AREA, BUT THERE IS A DECREASE FOR THE ROGUE VALLEY AND EAST SIDE.
THE CURRENT ENSEMBLES FAVOR THIS TO FINISH IN SOUTHERN OREGON SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY AS IT CONTINUES NORTHWARD. CURRENT TOTALS
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT TO MONDAY MORNING ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR
0.25"-0.40" AT THE COAST AND LESS THAN A TENTH IN WEST SIDE VALLEYS
AND ALONG THE CASCADES. THE EAST SIDE WILL ONCE AGAIN MAINLY JUST
SEE CLOUD COVER FROM THIS FRONT. AFTER THIS ENDS EARLY MONDAY, IT'S
ALL RIDGING FOR THE REST OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN
MORE DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS. THE LONG TERM FORECAST IS INDICATING
THERE COULD BE A CHANGE AS WE GET INTO MID-FEBRUARY WITH A TROUGH
FINALLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BREAK THE RIDGING PATTERN WE'VE BEEN
STUCK IN.
AVIATION...31/00 TAFS
VFR CEILINGS OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. A VERY WEAK FRONT WILL BRING VIRGA
AND PERHAPS OCCASIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS TO COOS AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
MARINE...UPDATED 200 PM PST FRIDAY, JANUARY 30, 2026
THE MAIN
UPDATE WAS TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ALL OF THE WATERS
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING, EXCEPTING THE AREA WITHIN 15 NM OF SHORE TO
THE SOUTH OF GOLD BEACH DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY.
A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOUTH WINDS
WILL BE AT ADVISORY STRENGTH ALONG WITH A HIGH AND STEEP WEST SWELL.
SEAS REMAIN STEEP WHILE CONDITIONS SLIGHTLY IMPROVE LATE TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL FRONTS LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY,
AND ON MONDAY WILL BRING STRONGER SOUTH WINDS AND CONTINUE HIGH AND
STEEP SEAS THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH ON TUESDAY, THEN WEST SWELL DOMINATED SEAS BUILD AND MAY
BECOME HIGH AND STEEP AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY.
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...CA...NONE.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST MONDAY
FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
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