053
FWUS46 KMFR 101018
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
218 AM PST TUE FEB 10 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 70 80 90 90 80 80 80 85 75 75 75 55 45 55 60
TEMPERATURE 26 27 30 31 29 27 26 26 25 25 26 27 28 28 27 27 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 24 29 23
WIND DIR E SE SE SE E SE E SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE W
WIND (MPH) 10 6 9 8 10 14 12 14 9 8 10 11 11 10 8 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 80 80 70 50 40 40 60 60 30 30 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.15 0.43 0.31 0.24 0.28 0.03 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 1.5 4.4 3.3 2.5 2.9 0.3 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.7 7.7 5.4 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.7 3.8 5.0 6.1 6.4 6.2 5.8 5.9 5.6 5.7 6.0 6.3 6.0 5.8 5.7 5.4 5.1
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 65 80 90 85 80 75 80 80 70 70 70 55 45 55 60
TEMPERATURE 25 25 35 36 31 28 27 27 25 23 30 32 31 28 27 27 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 23 34 22
WIND DIR E E SE SE E E E SE SE SE SE S SE SE SE E N
WIND (MPH) 10 6 8 8 8 13 11 11 8 8 8 9 10 6 5 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 80 80 70 50 40 40 60 60 30 30 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.11 0.32 0.23 0.16 0.20 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.0 1.4 1.7 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.9 4.6 3.1 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.8 3.8 5.0 6.0 6.3 6.1 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.6 6.0 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.2
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 70 80 90 90 85 80 80 85 75 75 75 55 45 55 60
TEMPERATURE 26 27 30 32 30 28 27 27 26 26 26 28 29 28 27 27 26
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 24 30 24
WIND DIR E SE SE SE E E E SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE E W
WIND (MPH) 12 9 9 8 11 14 12 13 9 8 10 11 12 9 8 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 80 80 70 50 40 40 60 60 40 40 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.15 0.41 0.30 0.21 0.24 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 1.4 4.0 3.0 2.1 2.4 0.3 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.6 7.0 4.5 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.7 3.8 4.9 6.0 6.4 6.1 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.6 6.0 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.4 5.1
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 70 80 90 85 80 75 75 80 70 70 75 55 45 55 55
TEMPERATURE 20 19 22 23 22 20 19 19 19 18 19 20 21 21 19 19 17
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 17 22 16
WIND DIR SE S S S E SE SE SE SE SE S SE S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 9 11 17 17 16 24 17 21 13 11 12 16 16 13 9 6 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 43 40 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 80 70 70 50 40 40 60 60 30 30 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.16 0.44 0.30 0.20 0.35 0.03 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 1.8 5.0 3.4 2.3 4.0 0.3 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.0 8.4 6.3 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.7 3.7 5.1 6.1 6.5 6.3 5.9 6.0 5.6 5.7 6.1 6.5 6.0 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.2
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 70 80 90 90 85 80 80 85 75 75 65 55 45 55 55
TEMPERATURE 26 26 31 35 33 31 28 29 27 26 28 31 32 31 30 29 27
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 26 33 26
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE E E S E SE SE S S S E N NW
WIND (MPH) 12 12 10 10 9 12 12 10 8 9 8 8 10 5 6 6 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 80 70 70 50 40 40 60 60 30 30 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.12 0.35 0.20 0.08 0.11 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.8 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.8 4.3 1.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.6 3.6 4.6 5.9 6.1 5.8 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.7 6.1 5.9 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.1
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 70 80 85 90 85 85 85 85 75 75 75 60 50 65 70
TEMPERATURE 36 36 40 42 40 39 38 37 37 37 37 37 38 37 36 36 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 35 38 34
WIND DIR E SE SE E E E SE E SE SE SE SE S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 9 8 3 8 5 4 8 3 4 5 5 8 5 4 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 20 80 80 70 40 50 50 60 60 40 40 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.12 0.34 0.26 0.18 0.20 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.8 3.8 4.6 5.7 5.9 5.8 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.1
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 70 75 90 90 80 80 80 85 70 70 70 55 50 55 60
TEMPERATURE 32 31 36 38 35 33 31 31 30 29 31 34 35 34 34 32 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 28 36 29
WIND DIR S S S SE SE SW S S S S SE S SE SE S S SE
WIND (MPH) 11 11 8 11 9 11 12 11 9 8 10 11 12 9 6 6 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 70 70 60 50 40 40 50 50 30 30 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.09 0.31 0.18 0.10 0.10 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 3.7 1.5 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.7 3.8 4.6 5.8 6.1 5.9 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.2
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK SC OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 55 45 75 75 60 65 65 70 55 55 50 35 30 30 40
TEMPERATURE 23 24 31 36 36 31 29 27 26 25 32 35 35 29 26 26 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 24 36 23
WIND DIR E SE SE SE E E E E E E SE SE S S W SW SW
WIND (MPH) 16 17 17 14 12 14 14 11 9 9 8 5 4 6 3 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 20 20 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.6 3.4 3.9 5.1 5.8 5.5 5.3 4.7 3.8 3.6 5.3 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.2
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK OV OV BK OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 55 55 80 75 70 70 70 70 55 55 55 35 35 30 40
TEMPERATURE 22 22 31 35 35 30 27 26 25 25 31 34 35 29 25 25 24
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 23 36 22
WIND DIR E SE SE SE E E SE E NE NE SE SE SE SE W W W
WIND (MPH) 12 13 13 12 10 11 11 9 8 8 8 6 5 5 3 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 20 30 30 20 20 20 30 30 20 20 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.9 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.6 3.3 3.8 5.0 5.9 5.6 5.3 4.7 3.8 3.6 5.3 6.2 6.1 5.8 5.6 5.3 5.2
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC BK BK BK OV BK OV OV BK BK SC SC SC FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 50 65 70 70 75 55 75 70 60 60 50 30 30 20 40
TEMPERATURE 27 27 33 41 41 36 33 32 31 30 33 39 40 34 32 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 29 41 28
WIND DIR E E E E E E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE S
WIND (MPH) 13 14 12 10 10 11 11 10 8 9 8 5 6 6 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 30 40 30 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.6 3.4 4.1 5.3 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.4 5.1 4.9 5.3 6.1 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.3 5.2
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 65 55 55 65 70 55 50 60 55 55 55 50 30 20 20 40
TEMPERATURE 27 27 32 35 35 32 30 29 29 28 31 35 36 32 30 30 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 27 37 28
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE E SE E E E SE SE SE S SW S S S
WIND (MPH) 14 17 16 12 12 14 13 11 8 9 9 4 5 6 4 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 10 10 20 10 20 20 30 30 10 10 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.6 3.4 3.9 5.0 5.7 5.4 5.2 4.7 4.0 3.7 5.2 6.2 6.2 5.8 5.6 5.3 5.2
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK BK BK SC SC BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 65 60 50 65 65 45 50 60 55 55 55 50 30 20 25 40
TEMPERATURE 26 26 32 35 35 32 30 29 28 27 32 36 36 32 29 30 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 26 37 27
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E SE SE S SW W S S S
WIND (MPH) 14 16 16 13 11 14 13 11 8 9 10 4 5 6 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 10 10 20 10 20 20 30 30 10 10 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.6 3.3 3.9 4.9 5.6 5.2 4.9 4.2 3.4 3.1 5.1 6.2 6.1 5.8 5.5 5.3 5.2
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/10/26 WEDNESDAY 02/11/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC SC FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 65 65 70 85 75 75 65 70 60 45 45 40 25 20 20 40
TEMPERATURE 32 32 34 37 37 34 32 31 30 31 32 35 36 33 33 32 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 30 36 31
WIND DIR SE SE S SE E S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S W
WIND (MPH) 14 16 12 9 10 14 14 11 8 6 9 8 11 9 4 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 30 40 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.9 0.3 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.7 3.5 4.0 5.1 5.8 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.6 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.4
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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