666  
FNUS76 KMFR 150254 CCA  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAGGY...CORRECTED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
654 PM PST SAT FEB 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON FEBRUARY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A LOW AND DEEP UPPER TROUGH MOVE OVER THE REGION  
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY BRINGING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. SNOW  
LEVELS BEGIN SUNDAY RIGHT AROUND THE BURN ELEVATION, BUT LOWER TO  
WELL BELOW SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY. COLDER,  
UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH SNOW CONTINUES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND WET SNOW. UP TO 0.20 INCHES  
OF RAIN, LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH OF SNOW.  
SNOW LEVEL..........AROUND 5000 FT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2-4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
CWR.................15 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW. 0.1-0.2 INCHES OF RAIN AND  
1-2 INCHES OF SNOW.  
SNOW LEVEL..........4000-4500 FT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 2-3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5-6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT.  
   
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW. AROUND 0.10 INCHES OF RAIN  
AND AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3-4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6-8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.  
CWR.................35 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SNOW LIKELY, 4-6 INCHES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS  
REQUESTED BY...EZEKIEL JONES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602512.2/MFR  
.DELDT 02/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RYAN.MUTCHNICK@USDA.GOV,EZEKIEL.JONES@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab OR Page
The Nexlab CA Page Main Text Page