140
FNUS76 KMFR 160239
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAGGY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
639 PM PST SUN FEB 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A WINTER SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY BRINGING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. SNOW
LEVELS WILL REMAIN BELOW THE BURN ELEVATION FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT WEEK. EXPECT SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW AT THE BURN ELEVATION,
ALONG WITH BREEZY WINDS AS THIS SYSTEM PASSES. ADDITIONAL SYSTEMS
WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE NEXT WEEK WITH MORE SNOW AND WIND.
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SNOW LIKELY. AROUND 0.10 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION AND AROUND 0.5 INCHES OF SNOW.
SNOW LEVEL..........3500-4000.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2-3 MPH, BECOMING WEST 5-6 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 4-5 MPH, BECOMING WEST 10-12 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW. 0.25-0.35 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION AND 2-4 INCHES OF SNOW.
SNOW LEVEL..........1000-1500.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 3-4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 8-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW. 0.15-0.30 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION AND 1-3 INCHES OF SNOW.
SNOW LEVEL..........1500-2000.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST 2-4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 6-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...EZEKIEL JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602512.3/MFR
.DELDT 02/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RYAN.MUTCHNICK@USDA.GOV,EZEKIEL.JONES@USDA.GOV
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