590
FNUS76 KMFR 160521
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR WAGNER SAR...JACKSON CO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
921 PM PST SUN FEB 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 PST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SPIN OFFSHORE OF
CALIFORNIA, PUMPING SOME MOISTURE INTO THE AREA AND PRODUCING SHOWERS.
EXPECT BREEZY TO GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE SHASTA VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. AFTER SOME SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING,
A FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION, AND STRONGER WINDS. WINDS WILL LIKELY SEE A PEAK OUT
OF THE SOUTHWEST BETWEEN NOON AND 1500 MONDAY. DEEP COLD AIR MOVES
INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT WITH SNOW LEVELS DROPPING AS LOW
AS 500 TO 1000 FEET MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS
EXPECTED DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOOR BY TUESDAY MORNING.
POINTS OF NOTE: CLOUDS WILL BE SHROUDING THE MOUNTAIN, WITH SOME
ISOLATED BREAKS BECOMING MORE INFREQUENT. WINDS CAN BE UP TO 5 TO
10 MPH STRONGER ABOVE TREE LINE OR OVER EXPOSED RIDGES; BE AWARE OF
EDDIES AND DOWNWARD WINDS ON THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE MOUNTAIN.
PRECIPITATION FORECAST IS AVERAGE ACROSS THE AREA. MORE PRECIPITATION
CAN BE EXPECTED ON SOUTH FACING SLOPES, AND LESSER AMOUNTS ON NORTH
SLOPES.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.
SNOW LEVEL..........5000 FT, LOWERING TO 4000 FT BY SUNRISE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....PEAK/RIDGES: 28-30.
MID/LOWER SLOPES: 30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH 10-15 MPH, WEAKENING TO 5-10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05 - 0.10 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.5 - 1.0 INCHES (ABOVE ~5000 FT).
CEILING (KFT).......GENERALLY LESS THAN 500 FT.
VISIBILITY..........1 - 3 MILES DECREASING TO 0.25 OR LESS IN THE
CLOUDS/FOG.
SUNRISE.............0704.
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN/SNOW, MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW LEVEL..........4000 FT, LOWERING TO 3000 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....PEAK/RIDGES: AROUND 30.
MID/LOWER SLOPES: 35-40.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST 6-8 MPH, BECOMING WEST 13-15 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.20 - 0.30 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....2 - 4 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......100 - 500 FT.
VISIBILITY..........0.25 - 0.50 MILES.
SUNSET..............1750.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW.
SNOW LEVEL..........3000 FT, LOWERING TO BELOW 1000 FT BY SUNRISE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....PEAK/RIDGES: 18-22.
MID/LOWER SLOPES: 25-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST 8-10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30 - 0.50 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....3 - 5 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......100 - 500 FT.
VISIBILITY..........0.50 MILES.
SUNRISE.............0703.
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...DELANEY RICHMOND
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 2602808.0/MFR
.DELDT 02/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RICHMODA@JACKSONCOUNTYOR.GOV
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