428
FWUS46 KMFR 161024
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
224 AM PST MON FEB 16 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 85 85 95 70 20 65 100 100 100 100 90 90 60 60 70
TEMPERATURE 25 24 24 25 23 19 14 13 14 14 14 16 16 15 13 11 10
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 12 18 10
WIND DIR S S SW W NW NW NW SW S S SW S SW SW NW W SW
WIND (MPH) 13 13 12 11 16 19 24 21 27 33 21 25 20 14 12 13 18
WIND GUST (MPH) 44 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 30 40 90 20 0 50 100 100 100 100 80 80 40 40 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.10 0.13 0.21 0.34 0.29 0.12 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 1.6 1.1 1.9 3.1 5.3 4.5 1.6 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 2.7 5.0 9.8 1.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.4 4.2 4.4 3.9 2.3 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.7
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 85 85 90 70 20 60 100 100 100 100 85 85 60 60 65
TEMPERATURE 25 23 27 27 23 20 16 15 14 14 19 19 17 15 13 10 9
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 12 21 8
WIND DIR SE SE SE SW NW N N SE S S S S S SW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 11 11 10 8 12 18 17 18 18 25 16 19 14 11 9 10 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 30 40 90 20 0 40 100 100 100 100 80 80 40 40 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.07 0.13 0.16 0.27 0.24 0.09 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.7 1.7 2.3 4.0 3.6 1.3 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 1.7 4.0 7.6 1.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.4 4.3 4.4 3.9 2.5 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.7
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 85 85 95 65 15 65 100 100 100 100 90 90 60 60 70
TEMPERATURE 26 24 24 25 24 20 15 14 15 15 15 16 16 15 13 11 10
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 13 18 10
WIND DIR S SW SW W NW NW NW SW SW S SW S SW SW NW NW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 13 12 11 17 19 25 21 27 33 21 25 21 16 12 13 18
WIND GUST (MPH) 44 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 30 40 90 20 0 50 100 100 100 100 80 80 40 40 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.10 0.11 0.21 0.36 0.30 0.13 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 1.7 1.1 1.5 3.2 5.6 4.6 1.7 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 2.8 4.7 10.2 2.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.4 4.2 4.4 4.0 2.4 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.6
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 85 95 75 30 65 100 100 100 100 90 90 60 60 65
TEMPERATURE 17 15 16 16 15 10 5 4 5 5 5 7 7 7 5 2 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 18 3 9 2
WIND DIR S S SW W NW NW NW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 29 28 25 18 23 27 32 34 41 48 36 37 28 20 19 21 28
WIND GUST (MPH) 69 71 64 48 44 50 67 69 78 79 74 64 50 36 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 30 40 90 30 0 40 100 100 100 100 80 80 40 40 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.12 0.21 0.21 0.38 0.33 0.15 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 1.3 1.4 3.0 3.1 5.2 4.6 1.9 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 2.7 6.1 9.8 2.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.3 4.1 4.3 3.9 2.3 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.7
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 80 85 90 75 20 60 100 100 100 100 90 90 65 65 65
TEMPERATURE 27 26 27 27 25 21 16 15 16 16 18 19 18 17 15 12 11
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 14 20 11
WIND DIR S S SW S NW NW W S S S S S S S W W SW
WIND (MPH) 18 13 13 6 14 18 17 20 17 27 23 20 18 11 10 10 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 40 40 90 30 0 40 100 100 100 100 80 80 40 40 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.09 0.09 0.21 0.35 0.31 0.17 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 1.4 1.0 1.2 3.1 5.4 4.8 2.3 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 2.4 4.3 10.2 2.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.0 2.8 1.1 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.6
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 85 75 90 50 15 70 100 100 100 100 90 90 60 60 70
TEMPERATURE 32 31 32 34 33 28 23 22 22 23 24 26 26 23 21 18 17
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 20 27 16
WIND DIR SE S S SE W NW NW SW S S S SW W W W SW S
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 4 9 12 10 10 12 14 13 14 6 8 9 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 30 40 90 10 5 50 100 100 100 100 80 80 40 40 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.09 0.02 0.17 0.28 0.22 0.07 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.6 0.2 2.3 4.0 3.2 1.0 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 1.2 2.5 7.2 1.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.1 2.6 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.7
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 80 90 55 20 65 100 100 100 100 85 85 55 55 70
TEMPERATURE 29 28 29 30 28 23 18 17 18 18 21 22 21 18 15 14 14
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 16 23 14
WIND DIR S SW S SW NW NW W S S S S S SW W NW W S
WIND (MPH) 14 12 12 9 11 17 19 26 19 23 16 19 11 9 10 11 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 20 30 80 10 5 50 100 100 100 100 80 80 40 40 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.20 0.23 0.18 0.06 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.6 0.7 2.8 3.5 2.8 0.8 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 1.1 3.5 6.3 1.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.9 0.7
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 85 80 95 75 75 85 95 95 100 100 95 95 80 75 85
TEMPERATURE 27 26 27 25 22 17 15 15 15 14 17 19 18 14 13 12 11
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 13 20 11
WIND DIR S SW SW W W W SW SW S S SW SW W NW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 14 14 18 21 17 18 19 24 23 20 17 14 14 12 12 12 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 60 80 70 90 50 20 80 100 100 100 100 90 90 60 60 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.23 0.32 0.12 0.24 0.23 0.11 0.04 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 2.6 3.9 1.7 3.7 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 6.5 5.4 5.3 1.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.2 2.8 1.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 80 80 90 75 70 85 95 95 100 100 90 90 75 75 80
TEMPERATURE 26 25 28 26 22 17 15 15 15 14 16 19 18 14 13 11 11
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 13 20 11
WIND DIR S SW SW W W W W SW S S SW SW W NW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 13 13 18 19 18 19 19 20 21 19 16 16 14 12 12 12 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 70 70 90 50 20 80 90 90 100 100 90 90 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.25 0.10 0.25 0.24 0.11 0.03 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 1.8 3.0 1.4 3.9 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 4.8 5.3 5.5 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.0 4.7 4.4 3.4 2.8 1.8 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 75 95 90 75 60 70 95 95 100 100 90 90 75 75 85
TEMPERATURE 31 29 30 31 26 24 20 20 20 20 21 24 23 20 18 17 16
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 19 25 16
WIND DIR S S SW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW W W SW S S
WIND (MPH) 9 11 13 14 13 17 13 14 17 14 13 13 11 13 9 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 40 90 80 70 5 60 90 90 100 100 80 80 70 70 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.19 0.17 0.11 0.21 0.14 0.05 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 2.0 2.1 1.6 3.2 2.1 0.8 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 2.4 3.7 5.3 1.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.9 4.5 4.4 3.7 3.0 2.2 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.7
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 85 90 75 65 80 95 95 100 100 95 95 75 75 90
TEMPERATURE 29 28 28 25 22 19 17 17 17 17 18 19 19 17 15 15 14
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 15 20 14
WIND DIR S SW SW W W W SW SW S S SW SW W NW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 17 16 18 19 16 16 20 20 23 18 14 13 10 9 9 13 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 80 80 70 90 40 10 70 100 100 100 100 90 90 60 60 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.26 0.17 0.25 0.25 0.13 0.08 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 1.9 3.0 2.2 3.8 3.7 1.9 1.2 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 4.9 6.0 5.6 1.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.9 4.6 4.2 3.1 2.7 1.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.6
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 80 95 75 65 80 100 100 100 100 95 95 75 75 90
TEMPERATURE 29 27 27 25 22 18 16 17 17 16 18 19 19 17 15 15 14
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 15 21 14
WIND DIR S SW SW W W W SW SW S S SW SW W NW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 16 17 20 20 16 14 19 19 24 17 14 14 9 6 9 14 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 80 80 70 90 40 20 70 100 100 100 100 90 90 60 60 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.22 0.24 0.12 0.30 0.23 0.11 0.10 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 2.4 2.9 1.7 4.6 3.5 1.7 1.4 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 5.3 6.3 5.2 1.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.9 4.6 4.1 2.9 2.6 1.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.6
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV FW OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 75 85 85 75 20 90 95 95 100 100 85 85 70 70 80
TEMPERATURE 29 28 28 28 23 21 18 19 18 18 18 19 20 18 16 17 16
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 17 21 16
WIND DIR S S SW W NW W SW S S S S SW W NW W SW S
WIND (MPH) 14 14 13 13 16 14 19 23 21 16 13 12 11 9 10 16 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 30 70 80 30 10 90 90 90 100 100 80 80 60 60 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.16 0.13 0.19 0.26 0.11 0.03 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 1.7 1.8 2.8 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 2.1 4.6 5.5 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.4 4.3 3.7 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.8
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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