116
FWUS46 KMFR 162224
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
224 PM PST MON FEB 16 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK FW OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 65 25 75 100 85 90 90 85 85 60 55 70 75 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 24 18 13 13 14 13 14 16 15 12 10 9 10 12 14 15 16
MIN/MAX TEMP 12 17 9 18
WIND DIR NW NW NW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 14 13 20 24 24 24 19 14 9 6 8 9 9 13 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 10 5 50 100 70 90 80 80 80 30 30 40 40 80 80 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.19 0.36 0.22 0.05 0.00 0.04 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 1.3 2.9 5.6 3.5 0.6 0.0 0.6 1.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.2 9.1 0.6 1.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.2 2.5 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.9 2.2
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 60 25 70 95 85 95 90 85 85 60 55 70 75 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 24 20 16 15 15 15 18 19 17 14 11 9 9 10 17 19 17
MIN/MAX TEMP 13 21 7 21
WIND DIR NW NW NW S S S S SW W W W W W SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 10 10 10 14 18 16 16 13 10 5 4 5 5 5 8 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 10 5 40 100 70 90 80 80 80 30 30 40 40 80 80 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.16 0.28 0.18 0.04 0.00 0.03 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 1.1 2.3 4.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.8
12 HOUR SNOW 3.4 6.9 0.5 1.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.1 2.6 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.9 2.2
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK FW OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 60 20 75 95 85 90 85 85 85 60 55 70 75 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 25 19 14 14 14 14 14 16 16 13 10 10 10 12 14 16 16
MIN/MAX TEMP 12 17 10 18
WIND DIR W NW NW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 14 13 20 24 24 24 19 14 9 6 8 9 10 13 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 10 5 50 100 70 90 80 80 80 30 30 50 50 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.19 0.37 0.22 0.05 0.00 0.05 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 1.0 2.9 5.7 3.5 0.6 0.0 0.6 1.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.9 9.2 0.6 1.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.3 2.5 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.9 2.2
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 70 35 70 100 80 90 90 85 85 65 55 70 75 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 15 10 4 4 5 5 5 6 5 4 2 1 1 4 6 8 7
MIN/MAX TEMP 3 7 1 11
WIND DIR NW NW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 20 21 19 28 33 31 31 27 20 12 9 11 13 13 18 20 21
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 20 10 50 100 70 80 80 80 80 30 30 40 40 80 80 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.18 0.34 0.26 0.06 0.01 0.04 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 2.1 2.6 4.7 3.6 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.7
12 HOUR SNOW 4.7 8.3 0.8 1.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.2 2.5 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.9 2.1
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV FW OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 70 20 75 95 85 90 90 85 85 65 55 65 75 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 27 21 16 15 17 16 17 19 18 15 12 11 11 13 17 17 18
MIN/MAX TEMP 15 20 10 19
WIND DIR W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 16 17 17 23 26 25 25 19 16 11 10 10 12 13 16 16 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 20 5 30 90 70 80 90 80 80 30 30 40 40 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.17 0.40 0.24 0.04 0.00 0.02 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 1.0 2.5 6.1 3.7 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9
12 HOUR SNOW 3.5 9.8 0.5 1.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 2.7 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.0 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.9 2.1
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 40 15 70 95 85 95 80 85 85 55 55 65 75 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 33 28 22 22 23 22 24 26 26 21 19 18 17 18 23 25 25
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 27 17 26
WIND DIR NW NW W S S S S SW SW W W W W SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 9 9 8 12 14 13 13 13 10 5 4 5 5 5 8 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 5 5 50 90 70 90 70 80 80 30 30 50 50 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.16 0.24 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 2.1 3.4 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6
12 HOUR SNOW 2.3 5.2 0.1 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 2.6 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 2.2
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 65 30 70 95 80 90 80 85 85 60 55 60 70 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 29 24 17 17 18 18 21 22 22 16 14 13 14 15 20 22 21
MIN/MAX TEMP 15 23 12 24
WIND DIR NW NW W S S SW SW SW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 14 13 20 21 19 19 17 13 9 6 9 10 10 12 13 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 5 10 60 90 70 80 70 70 70 30 30 40 40 70 70 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.17 0.14 0.13 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 2.5 2.2 2.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 2.9 4.3 0.1 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.2 2.6 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.9 2.2
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 80 90 95 90 95 85 95 95 85 75 85 85 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 21 16 15 15 15 15 17 19 18 14 11 11 12 12 17 19 18
MIN/MAX TEMP 13 20 10 20
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 16 17 16 18 19 17 16 13 12 9 8 8 9 10 13 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH) 33
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 40 80 90 80 90 80 90 90 60 60 70 70 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.25 0.26 0.10 0.06 0.04 0.07 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 1.9 3.9 4.1 1.5 0.9 0.6 1.0 0.9
12 HOUR SNOW 5.8 5.6 1.5 1.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.7 1.6 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.6
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 75 85 90 90 95 85 95 95 80 75 85 80 95 95 90
TEMPERATURE 22 17 14 14 15 14 17 19 17 14 11 11 11 11 17 19 18
MIN/MAX TEMP 13 19 10 20
WIND DIR W W W SW SW SW SW SW W SW W SW SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 17 18 16 18 19 17 17 14 13 10 9 9 10 11 14 14 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 40 80 90 80 90 80 90 90 50 50 60 60 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.24 0.25 0.09 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 1.1 3.8 3.9 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.7
12 HOUR SNOW 4.9 5.3 1.2 1.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.7 1.6 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.5 1.6
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 70 75 90 85 90 90 90 90 75 75 85 80 90 90 80
TEMPERATURE 26 23 20 20 20 20 21 23 23 19 17 16 16 16 20 23 23
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 24 14 25
WIND DIR W W W S SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 10 11 9 11 11 10 10 9 8 5 5 5 5 6 9 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 40 30 70 90 70 90 90 90 90 50 50 50 50 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.09 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.03 0.08 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 1.8 1.3 3.6 2.5 1.4 0.5 1.2 0.6
12 HOUR SNOW 3.1 6.1 1.9 1.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.9 1.9 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.6 1.8
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 75 90 95 90 90 90 95 95 75 75 85 85 95 95 90
TEMPERATURE 22 18 16 17 17 17 18 19 19 15 14 14 14 15 18 19 19
MIN/MAX TEMP 16 20 13 20
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 17 16 14 17 17 14 14 13 12 9 6 8 9 10 13 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH) 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 30 30 90 90 90 80 80 90 90 60 60 80 80 100 100 100
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.23 0.29 0.18 0.12 0.05 0.07 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 1.9 3.5 4.4 2.8 1.7 0.7 1.0 0.8
12 HOUR SNOW 5.4 7.2 2.4 1.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.7 1.6 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.6 1.7
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 75 90 95 90 90 90 95 95 75 75 85 85 100 100 95
TEMPERATURE 22 18 16 16 16 16 18 19 19 15 13 13 13 14 18 20 20
MIN/MAX TEMP 15 20 12 20
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 17 17 16 18 19 16 16 13 12 9 6 8 9 10 13 14 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 30 30 90 90 90 80 80 90 90 60 60 80 80 100 100 100
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.27 0.28 0.19 0.13 0.05 0.06 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 1.4 4.1 4.4 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.8 0.8
12 HOUR SNOW 5.5 7.3 2.7 1.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.7 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.6
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 55 80 90 80 85 90 85 85 70 65 85 75 85 85 80
TEMPERATURE 22 20 18 18 18 17 18 19 19 16 14 14 16 18 20 22 22
MIN/MAX TEMP 16 20 14 24
WIND DIR NW W W SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 19 18 17 20 17 16 17 17 16 10 8 9 10 10 12 13 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 10 30 70 90 70 80 90 80 80 50 50 50 50 70 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.17 0.16 0.12 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 1.3 2.5 2.4 1.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 3.8 4.2 0.8 0.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.9 1.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.0
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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