951
FWUS46 KMFR 171023
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
223 AM PST TUE FEB 17 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 90 100 75 80 65 35 60 80 80 85 85 90 90 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 14 14 15 15 15 12 9 9 8 9 13 16 16 17 17 17 16
MAX/MIN TEMP 17 7 17 16
WIND DIR SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW SW SW W SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 25 23 23 18 12 9 8 9 10 9 10 11 11 13 24 23 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 80 100 50 70 10 0 20 40 40 80 80 80 80 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.44 0.27 0.03 0.02 0.09 0.10 0.26 0.24
6 HOUR SNOW 6.9 4.2 0.5 0.3 1.2 1.3 3.6 3.3
12 HOUR SNOW 11.1 0.8 2.5 6.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 85 100 75 80 65 30 60 80 75 85 85 85 85 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 15 15 19 19 17 12 11 9 8 9 17 19 17 15 16 17 15
MAX/MIN TEMP 21 7 20 13
WIND DIR S S S W NW N N N N S SW SW SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 18 19 19 14 9 9 6 6 6 6 6 9 8 11 18 17 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 70 100 50 70 10 0 20 40 40 70 70 80 80 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.32 0.19 0.02 0.01 0.07 0.09 0.22 0.23
6 HOUR SNOW 4.9 3.0 0.3 0.2 0.9 1.2 2.9 3.0
12 HOUR SNOW 7.9 0.5 2.1 5.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.6 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.7
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 90 100 75 80 60 30 55 80 80 85 85 90 90 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 14 14 16 16 16 13 10 10 9 10 14 16 16 17 17 18 17
MAX/MIN TEMP 18 8 18 16
WIND DIR SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW SW SW SW SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 26 23 24 19 13 9 8 9 10 10 10 11 12 14 24 24 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 80 100 50 70 10 0 20 50 50 80 80 80 80 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.47 0.26 0.03 0.02 0.09 0.10 0.28 0.26
6 HOUR SNOW 7.3 4.1 0.5 0.3 1.2 1.3 3.8 3.6
12 HOUR SNOW 11.4 0.8 2.5 7.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.6 1.8 2.1 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.5 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 85 100 75 85 70 45 60 80 75 85 85 85 85 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 5 5 5 7 6 2 0 0 0 1 4 7 7 9 9 9 8
MAX/MIN TEMP 9 -1 9 8
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W NW NW W W W W W W SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 35 40 33 26 16 12 12 13 17 17 16 17 20 25 36 33 24
WIND GUST (MPH) 66 89 63 61 33 41 34 42 61 62 55 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 70 100 50 70 10 0 20 40 40 80 80 80 80 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.44 0.34 0.04 0.02 0.08 0.08 0.25 0.24
6 HOUR SNOW 6.1 4.8 0.5 0.3 1.0 1.0 3.4 3.2
12 HOUR SNOW 10.9 0.8 2.0 6.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 90 100 80 80 75 30 50 70 70 90 90 90 90 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 16 16 18 19 18 15 11 10 9 10 16 18 18 18 18 19 18
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 8 19 17
WIND DIR SW S SW W W NW NW NW W S SW SW SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 23 23 24 18 12 8 9 6 9 11 12 11 13 17 20 20 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 70 100 60 70 20 5 10 40 40 80 80 80 80 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.50 0.26 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.22 0.19
6 HOUR SNOW 7.8 3.9 0.7 0.1 0.7 1.1 3.0 2.7
12 HOUR SNOW 11.7 0.8 1.8 5.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.7
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 85 100 70 80 55 40 55 80 70 90 90 90 90 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 22 23 25 26 26 20 17 16 15 16 23 25 25 25 24 25 23
MAX/MIN TEMP 27 14 26 23
WIND DIR S S S SW SW W NW W SW SW SE S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 13 17 13 10 5 6 6 4 5 4 5 6 8 9 11 10 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 70 100 40 70 10 0 20 50 50 80 80 90 90 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.32 0.17 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.20 0.23
6 HOUR SNOW 4.5 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 2.6 3.0
12 HOUR SNOW 6.8 0.2 1.6 5.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.6 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.7
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV BK SC BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 80 100 65 75 55 40 55 70 65 80 80 90 90 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 18 18 22 22 21 14 12 13 12 13 20 22 21 21 20 21 20
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 11 22 19
WIND DIR S S SW W NW W W W W S SW W SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 17 20 18 14 8 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 11 20 14 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 70 100 50 60 10 0 20 40 40 70 70 80 80 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.16 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.11 0.16
6 HOUR SNOW 2.8 2.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.4 2.2
12 HOUR SNOW 5.2 0.6 1.0 3.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.7
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 95 70 75 75 80 70 80 80 95 95 90 90 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 14 14 17 18 18 13 12 11 10 11 15 18 18 16 16 16 15
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 9 19 13
WIND DIR SW SW W SW W W W W W W W W SW S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 19 14 14 16 13 13 10 10 11 12 11 12 11 10 12 19 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 90 90 50 70 40 30 30 70 70 90 90 90 90 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.29 0.12 0.11 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.20
6 HOUR SNOW 4.5 1.9 1.7 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.5 3.0
12 HOUR SNOW 6.4 2.6 2.1 4.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.3
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 95 65 75 70 75 70 75 75 95 95 90 90 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 14 13 17 19 18 13 12 10 9 10 15 18 18 15 15 15 15
MAX/MIN TEMP 19 8 19 13
WIND DIR SW SW W W W W W NW W W W W SW S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 18 14 14 18 13 14 11 12 13 13 12 12 12 11 11 19 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 80 90 50 70 40 20 30 60 60 90 90 80 80 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.07 0.09 0.19
6 HOUR SNOW 4.2 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.9
12 HOUR SNOW 5.9 1.8 1.6 4.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.3
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 95 80 75 70 75 70 80 75 90 90 85 80 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 20 20 20 23 23 18 17 15 14 15 19 23 24 21 21 21 21
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 13 25 19
WIND DIR SW S SW W W W W W SW SW SW W SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 12 11 13 14 12 11 9 8 6 8 9 10 9 9 10 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 70 90 60 50 50 20 30 60 60 90 90 70 70 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.23 0.22 0.12 0.03 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.15
6 HOUR SNOW 3.5 3.3 1.8 0.4 1.2 1.0 1.0 2.2
12 HOUR SNOW 6.8 2.2 2.2 3.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.4
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 95 80 85 75 80 70 85 85 95 95 90 90 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 16 16 18 19 18 15 13 12 12 13 16 19 19 18 18 19 19
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 11 20 17
WIND DIR SW SW W W W W NW W SW SW W W SW S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 18 12 13 12 12 9 8 8 10 11 11 11 10 9 14 19 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 90 90 70 80 40 20 40 80 80 100 100 90 90 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.32 0.24 0.16 0.04 0.09 0.07 0.10 0.17
6 HOUR SNOW 4.8 3.6 2.3 0.7 1.2 1.0 1.6 2.5
12 HOUR SNOW 8.4 3.0 2.2 4.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.2
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 80 85 75 80 70 85 85 95 95 95 95 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 15 15 17 20 19 15 13 12 11 13 16 19 19 18 18 19 18
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 11 20 16
WIND DIR SW SW SW W SW W NW SW SW SW SW W SW S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 18 13 13 10 12 8 8 8 10 12 12 11 10 9 12 19 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 90 90 70 80 40 20 40 80 80 100 100 90 90 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.32 0.23 0.17 0.05 0.08 0.06 0.11 0.17
6 HOUR SNOW 4.9 3.6 2.4 0.7 1.2 0.9 1.7 2.5
12 HOUR SNOW 8.5 3.1 2.1 4.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.2
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE TUESDAY 02/17/26 WEDNESDAY 02/18/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 95 75 70 70 55 65 80 75 80 80 85 85 95 95 95
TEMPERATURE 17 16 18 18 18 15 13 13 12 14 18 20 20 20 21 21 21
MAX/MIN TEMP 19 11 22 20
WIND DIR S S SW W W W NW NW W SE W W SW S S S NE
WIND (MPH) 23 17 13 10 10 11 6 9 10 6 5 8 6 13 17 13 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 60 90 60 40 20 30 10 50 50 70 70 80 80 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.18 0.04 0.02 0.06 0.05 0.09 0.14
6 HOUR SNOW 2.3 2.8 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.6 1.2 2.0
12 HOUR SNOW 5.1 0.9 1.4 3.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.3
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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