104  
FNUS76 KMFR 181625  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MISSING RAFTER...USCG  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
825 AM PST WED FEB 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 PST ON FEBRUARY 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE TODAY WITH SNOW LEVELS RISING  
FROM 500 FEET TO 2000 FEET. LOW OVERCAST AT AROUND 1500 FEET WITH  
OBSCURED MOUNTAINS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AROUND 10 AM, LIFTING  
TO VFR FOR THE AFTERNOON, BUT WITH POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF,  
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS TO BRING WORSE/LOWER CONDITIONS. LOWER IFR CEILINGS  
RETURN AROUND 5 PM.  
 
ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING LOW ELEVATION SNOW AROUND 8 PM  
TONIGHT INTO 8 AM THURSDAY WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW ABOVE 1000 FEET  
OF UP TO 6 INCHES. AFTER A BREAK LATER THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY  
NIGHT, WINDY, VERY RAINY WEATHER WILL RETURN EARLY SUNDAY INTO  
MONDAY EVENING, THOUGH WITH HIGHER SNOW LEVELS AROUND 3500 TO 4000  
FEET.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH  
THE DAY. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.  
100 FT WIND.........  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.3 INCHES.  
SNOW LEVEL..........1100-1900 FT.  
CEILING (KFT).......2.6 INCREASING TO 3.5 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 5.8 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 2.7 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 5.8 DECREASING TO 4.5 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY..........0.29 INCREASING TO 7 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN INCREASING TO 10 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 0.38 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 0.29.  
SUNSET..............  
 
TIME (PST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN RS RS RS SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 80 80 80 70 60 30 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............36 38 39 40 40 40 39 39  
RH..............75 78 77 77 76 82 81 85  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10  
SURFACE WND GST.10 13 13 13 13 15 16 16  
100 FT WIND.....  
SNOW LVL (KFT)..1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8  
CEILING (KFT)...1.6 2.0 2.7 3.2 3.8 4.5 4.5 4.5  
VISIBILITY (SM).. 5 5 7 10 7 7 7 7  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE EVENING. SNOW THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
100 FT WIND.........  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.96 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....6.0 INCHES.  
SNOW LEVEL..........1300-1700 FT.  
CEILING (KFT).......4.5 DECREASING TO 1.5.  
VISIBILITY..........5 DECREASING TO 0.24 IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT, THEN INCREASING TO 1.11 AFTER 3 AM  
DECREASING TO 0.48 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SUNRISE.............  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 90 100 100 100 100 90 80 70 100 100  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............37 37 36 36 35 34 34 35 34 33 33 32  
RH..............82 84 83 84 86 90 87 85 84 85 83 90  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.11 13 11 13 10 10 9 6 6 5 5 5  
SURFACE WND GST.16 20 17 18 16 15 13 9 9 8 8 8  
100 FT WIND.....  
SNOW LVL (KFT)..1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3  
CEILING (KFT)...4.5 4.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.7 2.2 2.2 1.8 2.2 1.8 1.5  
VISIBILITY (SM) 1 .28 .28 .28 .28 .24 .24 .24 .24 .24 1.1 .48  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW THROUGH THE DAY.  
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
100 FT WIND.........  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.7 INCHES.  
SNOW LEVEL..........1100-1800 FT.  
CEILING (KFT).......1.3 DECREASING TO 0.2.  
VISIBILITY..........0.48 DECREASING TO 0.24 IN THE MORNING.  
SUNSET..............  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN RS RS RS RS RS  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 100 90 90 90 90 90 90 80 80  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............31 31 31 33 35 37 38 39 39 39 39 38  
RH..............88 86 87 83 78 78 80 82 82 82 81 81  
SURFACE WND DIR.S SW SW SW N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
SURFACE WND SPD.5 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 6 6  
SURFACE WND GST.8 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 9 9  
100 FT WIND.....  
SNOW LVL (KFT)..1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8  
CEILING (KFT)...1.3 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.2  
VISIBILITY (SM)..48 .24 .24 .24 .24  
 

 
FORECASTER...WEYGAND  
REQUESTED BY...CDR JAY KIRCHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2602960.1/MFR  
.DELDT 02/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAY.F.KIRCHER@USCG.MIL  
 
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