469
FNUS76 KMFR 191638
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR MISSING RAFTER...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
838 AM PST THU FEB 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 PST ON FEBRUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THE MAIN AXIS OF MOISTURE WITH THE LATEST LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA AND THIS HAS ALLOWED CLEARING
THIS MORNING. THIS SHOULD LAST THROUGH ABOUT NOON, BUT INSTABILITY
WILL RESULT IN INCREASING CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS SHOULD END TONIGHT WITH PARTIAL CLEARING. IT WILL BE COLD
AND SOME LOW CLOUDS/FOG MAY DEVELOP IN THE DEEPER VALLEYS TOWARD MORNING.
FRIDAY SHOULD BE MOSTLY DRY, THOUGH RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY
NIGHT. PERIODS OF WINDY WEATHER DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND WITH A STRONGER FRONT
MOVING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH HEAVIER RAINFALL, BUT
SNOW LEVELS WILL BE HIGH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING, THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY
WITH SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. MAYBE BE MIXED WITH
GRAUPEL/WET SNOW.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).VARIABLE 0-3 MPH BECOMING NW 5-10 MPH.
100 FT WIND.........NW 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....T INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........1600-2200 FT.
CEILING (KFT).......1.5 THIS MORNING, INCREASING TO 2.7 EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO 3.5-4.5 THIS
AFTERNOON.
VISIBILITY..........6-10, COULD BE 3 AT TIMES IN ANY SHOWER THIS
AFTERNOON.
SUNSET..............549 PM PST
TIME (PST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC MC MC MC MC PC MC
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 30 60 80 80 80 50
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 0 0
TEMP............36 37 38 40 40 41 39 38
RH..............77 79 77 73 71 72 76 80
SURFACE WND DIR.VRB VRB N NW NW NW NW NW
SURFACE WND SPD.1 1 2 4 5 5 4 4
SURFACE WND GST.3 3 7 9 9 10 7 7
100 FT WIND.....5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10
SNOW LVL (KFT)..1.6 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1
CEILING (KFT)...1.5 2.2 2.7 2.7 3.5 3.5 4.5 3.5
VISIBILITY (SM).7 9 10 7 6 4 4 5
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS EVENING, THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. POSSIBLE FOG TOWARD MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT THIS EVENING, THEN 5 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NW 4-7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
100 FT WIND.........NW 5-10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........1100-2000 FT DECREASING TO 700-1000 FT
OVERNIGHT.
CEILING (KFT).......3.5 DECREASING TO 2.7 LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN
DECREASING TO 2.2 OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO 0.2
OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO 0.1 INCREASING TO 0.2
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
VISIBILITY..........10 DECREASING TO 0.24.
SUNRISE.............
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 20 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............38 37 36 35 32 31 30 29 29 29 28 27
RH..............80 83 82 84 83 90 90 90 90 90 95 100
SURFACE WND DIR.NW N N N E E E SE SE SE SE SE
SURFACE WND SPD.4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 0
SURFACE WND GST.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 3 3 3 2
100 FT WIND.....
SNOW LVL (KFT)..2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7
CEILING (KFT)...3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2
VISIBILITY (SM).10 8 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG/LOW CLOUDS
IN THE MORNING; OTHERWISE, A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5-10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
100 FT WIND.........S 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........T INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
SNOW LEVEL..........800-1700 FT INCREASING TO 2400-2700 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CEILING (KFT).......0.1 INCREASING TO 3.5.
VISIBILITY..........1-3 IN THE MORNING, THEN 6+ IN THE AFTERNOON.
SUNSET..............550 PM PST.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............29 29 30 34 36 38 41 42 43 45 44 42
RH..............100 81 79 75 71 70 70 71 72 74 75 76
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
SURFACE WND SPD.3 4 4 4 5 5 5 9 9 9 8 8
SURFACE WND GST.6 7 7 7 8 8 8 14 14 14 13 13
100 FT WIND.....
SNOW LVL (KFT)..0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.7
CEILING (KFT)...0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5
VISIBILITY (SM).1 1 1 1 3 6 10 10 10 10 10 10
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...CDR JAY KIRCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 2602960.2/MFR
.DELDT 02/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAY.F.KIRCHER@USCG.MIL
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