815
FNUS76 KMFR 190017
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR PANTHER 15...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
517 PM PDT WED MAR 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THURSDAY WITH
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, LOW PM HUMIDITY (TEENS), AND
AFTERNOON SW BREEZES (THOUGH BREEZES WILL BE MUCH LOWER AT EYE LEVEL
DUE TO FULL SHELTERING). POOR RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT.
IT APPEARS HUMIDITY WILL COME UP A BIT FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH
A MARINE PUSH AND A WIND SHIFT TO NW AHEAD OF FRIDAY NIGHT'S COLD
FRONT. THE FRONT MORE THAN LIKELY WILL PASS THROUGH DRY (THOUGH THERE
IS A LOW CHANCE -- ABOUT 10% -- OF SOME SPRINKLES). THE MAIN IMPACT
WILL BE THE COOLING (AND HIGHER HUMIDITY) EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH
HIGHS NO BETTER THAN THE MID 50S. BREEZY WINDS (NW-N) ARE STILL
LIKELY SATURDAY. THINGS DRY OUT AGAIN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, THEN THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RAIN TOWARD MID NEXT WEEK (TUE NIGHT/WED).
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY AND WARM.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SSW 1-2 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SSW 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10-20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55.
MAX HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....W 1-2 MPH BECOMING S OR DOWNSLOPE 0-1 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........W 3-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH BECOMING S OR
DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SOME CLOUDS WITH MARINE PUSH BY EVENING.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SSW 1-3 MPH, BECOMING NW AFTER 1400.
WIND (20 FT)........SSW 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH BECOMING NW AFTER 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10-20 MPH, BECOMING NW.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...JOSEPH VAN DOMELEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605988.2/MFR
.DELDT 03/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSEPH.VANDOMELEN@USDA.GOV
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