699
FNUS76 KMFR 190102
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR OPINE 2B/FLANK 5 RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
602 PM PDT WED MAR 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM PDT THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS PROMPTED AN EARLY
SEASON PRE-GREEN UP RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE AREA ON THURSDAY DUE
TO EXPECTED WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS WITH LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY. BURNS COULD
ESCAPE AND SPREAD QUICKLY UNDER THESE CONDITIONS. DRY WEATHER
CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY, THOUGH THERE SHOULD BE AN UPTICK IN
HUMIDITY. A COLD FRONT PRESSES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
PROBABLY WITH NO PRECIP, BUT A MARKED CHANGE TO COOLER AND SOMEWHAT
HIGHER HUMIDITY. COLD NIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DRY WEATHER AGAIN
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. NEXT CHANCE AT PRECIP WILL BE MID NEXT WEEK.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A BREEZY AND WARM AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-12 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1000, THEN WSW 5-10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1000, THEN WSW 9-15 MPH WITH
PEAK GUSTS TO 28 MPH AFTER 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 7-15 MPH INCREASING TO 15-25 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 35 37 42 49 56 64 70 73 75 77 75
RH..............52 41 30 22 18 12 11 10 9 9 9 11
20 FT WIND DIR..E NE NE E S S SW SW SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 5 8 10 15 15 17 15
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 6 9 11 17 25 25 28 25
EYE LVL WND DIR.E NE NE E S S SW SW SW SW SW W
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 6 6 6 6
EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 3 5 6 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 4.9 4.9 4.9 6.1 6.3 6.1 5.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 18 18 18 25 25 25 22
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....W 5-7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING SW, THEN
VARIABLE 1-2 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........W 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING SW, THEN VARIABLE 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....W 12-22 MPH BECOMING SW 6-11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 65 56 52 50 48 45 41 40 39 37 37
RH..............13 25 35 40 42 45 45 48 50 52 54 56
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W S S S E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 6 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 10 10 10 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W S S S E E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.9 9 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.8 5.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WSW 4-9 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WSW 8-14 MPH WITH PEAK
GUSTS TO 26 MPH AFTER 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 7-12 MPH INCREASING TO 15-25 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC MC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............37 38 40 44 53 62 69 73 76 77 76 74
RH..............56 42 31 27 27 25 23 21 20 18 18 21
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E S S S SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 4 4 8 11 11 13 12
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 13 19 19 24 22
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E S S S SW SW SW W
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 5 5 6
EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 7 7 7 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 3.0 3.0 3.0 7.6 7.6 7.6 6.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 7 12 12 12 25 25 25 24
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
BREEZY, MUCH COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. W-NW WINDS 5-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS AROUND 60. NE-N WINDS 5-10
MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SW-W WINDS 10-15 MPH.
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...S. CARROLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605985.2/MFR
.DELDT 03/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WITHERSPOON@USDA.GOV,SEAN.CARROLL@USDA.GOV,NATALIE.KUNTZ@USDS.GOV,RYAN.RUKLIC@USDA.GOV,DANIIL.SLEPUKHIN@USDA.GOV
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