109  
FNUS76 KMFR 190118  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAYDEN RIDGE 2...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
618 PM PDT WED MAR 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PDT ON MARCH 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
FIRE WEATHER RISK REMAINS ELEVATED THU/FRI WITH WELL ABOVE  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES, LOW HUMIDITY AND AFTERNOON BREEZES. A COLD FRONT WILL  
MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/SAT, BUT PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE VERY  
LOW (<10%). THE FRONT WILL COOL THINGS OFF BY 10 DEGREES OR SO ON SATURDAY  
WITH NW-N BREEZES. THINGS DRY OUT AGAIN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, THEN THERE IS A  
CHANCE FOR RAIN TOWARD MID NEXT WEEK (TUE NIGHT/WED).  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY AND WARM.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPSLOPE OR SE 0-1 MPH BECOMING WNW 1-2 MPH  
AFTER 1000 SHIFTING BACK TO SE 1-3 MPH TOWARD EVENING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SSE 1-4 MPH BECOMING WNW 2-5 MPH AFTER 1000 UNTIL  
1700, THEN SE 5-9 MPH WITH PEAK GUSTS TO 17 MPH AFTER  
1700.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SE 1-3 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SE 4-8 MPH WITH PEAK GUSTS 15 MPH TIL 2100, THEN 2-5  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 5-10 MPH EASING TO 5 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 20 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPSLOPE OR SE 0-1 MPH BECOMING WNW 1-2 MPH  
AFTER 1000 SHIFTING BACK TO SE 1-3 MPH TOWARD EVENING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SSE 2-4 MPH BECOMING WNW 2-5 MPH AFTER 1000 UNTIL  
1700, THEN SE 4-9 MPH WITH PEAK GUSTS TO 17 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....S 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SATURDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
NW-N WIND 5-9 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH.   
SUNDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
SE WINDS BECOMING NW 3-8 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT  
WINDS. SE WINDS BECOMING NW 3-8 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...RYAN MUTCHNICK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605989.2/MFR  
.DELDT 03/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GEORGE.CORREA@USDA.GOV,PAUL.BUCHTER@USDA.GOV,EZEKIEL.JONES@USDA.GOV,RYAN.MUTCHNICK@USDA.GOV,THOMAS.SHICKLE@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.GENTRY@USDA.GOV  
 
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