294  
FNUS76 KMFR 200118  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PANTHER 15...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
618 PM PDT THU MAR 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON MARCH 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
AN INCREASE IN DEWPOINT SHOULD RAISE HUMIDITY A BIT  
ON FRIDAY COMPARED TO RECENT DAYS, THOUGH IT'LL REMAIN DRY WITH SUN  
AND SOME HIGH CLOUDS. A MARINE PUSH WILL SHIFT WINDS TO NW DURING  
THE AFTERNOON, AND THEN A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH AT NIGHT.  
EXPECT MORE CLOUDS TO BANK UP AGAINST THE SISKIYOUS AND THIS COULD  
(10-20% CHANCE) PRODUCE A LITTLE LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE INTO SATURDAY  
MORNING, BUT THE MOISTURE WON'T AMOUNT TO MUCH. COOLER AIR WITH  
HIGHER HUMIDITY WILL OVERTAKE THE AREA ON SATURDAY WITH WINDS (BREEZY)  
SHIFTING BACK TO THE N. THINGS DRY OUT AGAIN SUNDAY/MONDAY, THEN  
ANOTHER COLD FRONT/MARINE PUSH BRINGS A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN TOWARD  
MID NEXT WEEK (TUE NIGHT/WED).  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SSW 1-3 MPH, BECOMING NW AFTER 1200.  
WIND (20 FT)........SSW 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH BECOMING NW  
AND INCREASING TO 8-14 MPH AFTER 1200.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10-20 MPH, BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A LOW CHANCE (10-20%)  
OF LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE TOWARD MORNING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW 1-2 MPH, THEN VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NW-N 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 26 MPH IN THE EVENING,  
THEN BECOMING WSW 5-10 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH A LOW CHANCE (10-20%) OF LIGHT  
RAIN OR DRIZZLE UNTIL 1200, THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY SUNNY. BREEZY, COOLER.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.2 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....W BECOMING NW 1-4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WSW BECOMING N 10-15 MPH. GUSTS TO 28 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 15-20 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...JOSEPH VAN DOMELEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605988.3/MFR  
.DELDT 03/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.VANDOMELEN@USDA.GOV  
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