917
FWUS46 KMFR 212136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT TUE APR 21 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV SC BK BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 85 90 85 70 50 65 70 60 60 50 40 30 25 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 29 27 27 27 25 25 28 29 30 29 27 26 25 29 37 42 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 23 31 24 43
WIND DIR S W NW NW NW W W W W W NW NW N NW NW W NW
WIND (MPH) 10 9 8 9 10 11 12 12 11 9 6 8 9 6 6 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 80 90 40 50 20 10 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.31 0.15 0.04 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.1 1.3 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.8 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.8 5.4 5.8 5.6 5.0 4.4 4.1 4.2 5.6 6.2 6.6
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK SC BK OV BK BK BK SC SC FW FW CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 90 90 85 65 45 65 70 60 60 55 40 30 25 10 5 5
TEMPERATURE 30 26 26 25 24 25 30 32 32 27 26 23 22 27 39 44 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 22 34 21 46
WIND DIR S NW NW NW NW NW SW SW W W NW NW N NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 5 5 5 5 6 8 9 9 6 5 5 5 4 4 5 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 80 40 50 20 10 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.29 0.18 0.03 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.2 1.5 0.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.7 1.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.4 5.0 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.7 5.3 5.7 5.6 5.0 4.4 4.0 4.3 5.5 6.2 6.6
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV SC BK OV BK BK BK SC SC FW FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 85 90 85 70 50 65 70 60 60 50 35 30 25 10 5 5
TEMPERATURE 29 28 27 27 25 25 26 29 30 29 27 26 25 29 36 41 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 23 31 24 43
WIND DIR SW W W NW NW W W SW W W NW NW N NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 11 9 9 9 11 11 12 12 12 10 8 8 9 8 6 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 70 80 40 50 20 20 40 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.28 0.12 0.04 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.3 1.0 0.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.3 1.4 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.8 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.3 4.4 4.8 5.4 5.8 5.6 5.1 4.5 4.1 4.2 5.7 6.2 6.7
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 85 90 90 75 50 60 65 60 60 50 45 30 25 5 5 5
TEMPERATURE 20 19 18 16 15 16 18 20 21 20 18 17 16 20 27 32 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 14 22 15 33
WIND DIR S NW NW NW NW NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
WIND (MPH) 16 12 11 12 12 13 16 17 17 13 10 10 10 9 11 12 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 80 90 50 50 20 10 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.39 0.22 0.02 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 4.1 2.3 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 6.4 0.7 0.2 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.8 5.4 5.8 5.6 4.8 4.4 4.0 4.2 5.5 6.2 6.6
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC SC FW CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 85 90 90 80 75 70 70 65 65 55 45 35 30 10 5 5
TEMPERATURE 31 30 28 28 26 27 27 30 32 31 28 26 25 28 37 43 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 33 24 44
WIND DIR SW W W W W SW SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 13 12 11 12 13 13 14 14 14 13 11 10 10 9 9 10 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 60 90 50 60 20 20 30 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.09 0.04 0.08 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.8 1.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.0 5.6 5.0 4.7 4.4 4.3 4.8 5.3 5.8 5.6 5.1 4.5 4.1 4.3 5.5 6.2 6.7
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK BK SC SC SC FW FW CL FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 90 70 55 70 70 70 55 45 40 35 20 10 5 5
TEMPERATURE 38 35 34 34 31 34 37 40 40 36 33 32 30 35 46 52 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 42 30 54
WIND DIR S SW NW NW W SW S S SW SW NW NW NW N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 4 4 5 6 8 6 5 4 4 5 4 4 4 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 80 70 30 50 30 20 40 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.06 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.4 4.9 4.6 4.2 4.3 4.8 5.3 5.8 5.7 5.1 4.5 4.1 4.2 5.4 6.2 6.7
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 90 90 65 45 70 65 65 55 45 45 35 25 10 5 5
TEMPERATURE 33 30 30 28 27 29 32 34 35 32 30 27 26 31 40 44 46
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 36 25 46
WIND DIR S NW NW W W W S SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 8 6 6 8 9 10 10 10 9 5 6 6 6 8 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 70 20 40 20 10 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.20 0.05 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.4 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.9 5.5 5.8 5.6 5.1 4.5 4.1 4.2 5.4 6.2 6.6
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 90 90 90 90 90 85 85 90 85 75 70 65 40 20 5 5
TEMPERATURE 35 31 29 28 27 26 29 31 31 29 27 25 23 25 36 43 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 31 23 44
WIND DIR W NW NW W W W W W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 11 12 12 14 17 20 20 20 19 19 16 12 9 8 8 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 40 37 37 36
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 80 70 80 60 80 70 70 70 10 10 10 10 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.28 0.26 0.22 0.17 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.7 2.4 2.2 1.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.1 4.0 0.8 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 5.7 5.3 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.2 3.7 3.8 5.0 6.0 6.5
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 85 90 90 85 80 85 85 70 60 65 40 20 5 5
TEMPERATURE 34 30 28 27 26 25 29 30 30 28 27 24 22 25 36 42 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 31 22 44
WIND DIR W NW NW W W W W W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 11 12 12 14 18 21 20 19 19 19 17 13 10 8 9 11 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 36
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 80 80 70 80 60 80 70 60 60 10 10 10 10 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.19 0.17 0.17 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.9 3.5 0.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 5.8 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.9 5.3 5.4 5.1 4.6 4.2 3.7 3.8 5.0 6.1 6.5
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 95 90 90 85 90 85 80 90 80 80 75 60 40 15 5 5
TEMPERATURE 39 34 32 31 31 29 31 35 36 34 32 29 28 29 38 46 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 38 27 48
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 6 8 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 8 5 5 4 4 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 90 80 80 70 60 70 50 40 40 5 5 5 5 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.29 0.17 0.09 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 2.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.0 2.1 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 5.3 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.8 5.4 5.5 5.0 4.7 4.3 3.9 3.8 5.1 6.1 6.5
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 95 90 90 90 90 85 90 90 85 75 75 65 40 20 5 5
TEMPERATURE 34 32 31 29 29 28 28 30 30 31 30 29 27 29 35 41 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 31 27 42
WIND DIR NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 10 11 11 13 16 18 18 18 18 18 14 11 9 6 8 10 12
WIND GUST (MPH) 34 39 41 40 39 36 32
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 90 80 80 90 60 70 90 80 80 20 20 20 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.32 0.27 0.18 0.13 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.9 2.2 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.1 2.8 0.7 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 5.6 5.1 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.7 4.9 5.9 6.4
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 95 90 90 90 90 85 90 90 85 75 75 70 40 20 5 5
TEMPERATURE 34 32 31 29 29 28 29 30 30 31 29 28 26 28 36 42 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 31 26 43
WIND DIR NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 11 11 11 16 18 20 20 20 20 19 16 12 9 6 8 11 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 41 40 39 36
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 90 80 80 90 60 70 90 80 80 20 20 20 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.23 0.20 0.15 0.12 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.4 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.0 2.6 0.7 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 5.7 5.2 4.9 4.6 4.6 4.7 5.2 5.3 5.1 4.6 4.1 3.7 3.7 4.8 5.9 6.3
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 04/22/26 THURSDAY 04/23/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV BK BK BK SC FW CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 95 90 85 70 70 65 70 80 75 55 55 50 40 10 5 5
TEMPERATURE 34 30 30 29 29 30 31 33 33 33 31 30 29 32 39 42 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 34 28 44
WIND DIR NW NW W W W W W W W NW NW W W W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 12 13 11 11 11 12 14 17 18 17 11 9 6 5 8 11 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 90 60 40 40 20 30 40 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.42 0.10 0.02 0.10 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 3.0 0.8 0.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.8 1.2 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.2 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.6 5.2 4.5 4.3 4.0 3.9 4.9 5.7 6.3
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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