113  
FNUS76 KMFR 090240  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FOREST CREEK BRAVO...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
740 PM PDT FRI MAY 8 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON MAY 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THE OVERALL  
PATTERN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL TREND WARMER AND  
DRIER SATURDAY, WITH A TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERN (LIGHT,  
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS OVERNIGHT, INCREASED NORTHWEST BREEZES IN THE  
AFTERNOON/EVENING). A DRY FRONT ON SUNDAY WILL BRING A SLIGHT  
UPTICK IN AFTERNOON WIND SPEEDS, BUT ALSO SLIGHTLY LOWER  
TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER DAYTIME HUMIDITIES. ABOVE NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK, BUT  
RECOVERIES WILL REMAIN GOOD. PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN LOW  
(<15%) THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK, BUT LONG RANGE GUIDANCE IS  
HINTING AT POTENTIAL SHOWERS/T-STORMS OUT AROUND WED/THU - STILL  
UNCERTAIN.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE MORNING, BECOMING NORTHWEST  
5-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE MORNING, BECOMING NORTHWEST  
8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS 15-18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 51 63 73 82 85  
RH..............80 66 49 34 25 16  
20 FT WIND......E 1 NE 2 NE 4 N 5 NW 6 NW 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 6 7 10 15  
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 0 NE 1 NE 1 N 2 W 2 W 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.1 2 2 3 3 4  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1600 1600 3800 5500 5900  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 3 E 3 E 3 NE 2 NW 8 NW 8  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-6 MPH IN THE EVENING, BECOMING  
DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6-8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
DOWNSLOPE 3-5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 78 65 59 55 52  
RH..............20 33 50 62 71 78  
20 FT WIND......NW 6 NW 5 NW 5 W 3 W 2 W 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 11 6 4 4  
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 W 1 W 1 W 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 4 4 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (FT)....5000 600 600 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 NW 6 NW 6 W 5 W 3 W 3  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE MORNING, BECOMING NORTHWEST  
5-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE MORNING, BECOMING NORTHWEST  
8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 53 60 68 75 78  
RH..............82 74 61 48 39 32  
20 FT WIND......W 2 NW 3 NW 3 NW 6 NW 8 NW 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 7 15 18  
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 1 NW 1 NW 1 NW 2 NW 6 NW 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 3 12 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 BLW100 BLW100 4300 4400 4900  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 0 N 0 N 0 NW 7 NW 9 NW 9  
 

 
FORECASTER...FIRMIN  
REQUESTED BY...CONOR SHANAHAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613185.1/MFR  
.DELDT 05/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ACHANDLER@BLM.GOV,JKIENE@BLM.GOV,CONOR_SHANAHAN@FWS.GOV  
 
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