315
FWUS46 KMFR 122136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT TUE MAY 12 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 30 40 25 10 15 15 5 0 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 58 55 52 47 41 42 44 47 48 45 41 38 36 44 53 55 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 50 35 57
WIND DIR S S SW SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 25 19 21 26 28 33 27 26 20 17 14 12 13 10 10 9 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 46 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 10 0 0 0 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 10.7 10.2 8.2 7.0 6.2 6.4 7.1 7.7 7.5 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.9 8.0 8.6 9.1
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC FW CL FW FW FW CL CL FW CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 30 40 25 5 20 10 10 0 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 59 50 46 41 36 40 46 50 50 41 37 33 32 41 55 59 58
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 52 31 60
WIND DIR S S SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 18 13 16 20 21 25 20 19 16 12 10 8 8 6 8 6 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 10 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 10.7 10.2 8.1 7.0 6.0 6.2 6.9 7.5 7.3 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.9 7.8 8.6 9.1
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW CL FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 35 35 25 10 15 10 5 0 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 58 56 53 47 41 42 42 45 48 46 41 37 36 44 50 53 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 50 35 56
WIND DIR S S S SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 25 19 21 26 28 33 27 25 20 17 14 13 13 9 10 9 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 46 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 10 0 0 0 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 10.6 10.2 8.3 7.0 6.2 6.5 7.1 7.7 7.6 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.8 7.9 8.6 9.1
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 40 25 5 15 15 15 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 45 42 38 32 28 30 32 35 36 34 29 26 24 32 41 42 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 36 24 43
WIND DIR S S S SW SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
WIND (MPH) 40 36 44 54 54 51 48 43 34 28 21 19 19 18 19 20 25
WIND GUST (MPH) 74 87 108 115 115 85 98 81 65 54 46 42 37 39 43 50 58
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 10 0 0 0 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 10.7 10.3 8.2 7.0 6.1 6.3 7.0 7.6 7.4 7.0 6.8 6.9 7.0 8.1 8.5 9.0
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC CL FW FW CL CL FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 45 30 30 5 15 5 5 5 5 10 5 5 0 0 5 0
TEMPERATURE 59 58 54 48 41 42 43 48 49 49 41 37 35 43 51 56 57
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 51 35 57
WIND DIR S SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW N N N N NE W NW
WIND (MPH) 23 19 18 21 24 24 20 19 14 14 12 11 11 8 8 6 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 0 0 5 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 10.0 9.8 8.6 7.2 6.4 6.5 6.9 7.5 7.3 7.0 6.7 6.6 6.8 7.8 8.8 8.9
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC FW CL FW CL FW CL CL FW CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 20 40 15 5 20 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 70 64 60 53 47 52 55 61 61 55 50 46 44 53 64 69 70
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 63 44 71
WIND DIR S S SW SW W NW N N N N N NW NW N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 13 6 4 3 6 6 11 13 13 8 9 9 9 5 3 4 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 10.6 10.0 8.1 6.8 6.1 6.4 7.1 7.7 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.9 7.6 8.7 9.3
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC FW CL FW CL FW CL FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 40 15 0 15 5 15 5 5 10 5 5 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 62 58 51 46 41 47 46 50 53 49 42 39 37 47 54 59 59
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 53 36 60
WIND DIR S S SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 16 10 13 17 17 21 19 19 16 11 10 9 9 8 8 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 10 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.2 10.7 10.0 8.1 6.6 6.1 6.4 7.0 7.6 7.3 7.0 6.8 6.8 6.9 7.9 8.5 9.2
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV BK OV OV OV SC FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 65 70 60 90 85 75 35 15 15 5 5 5 5 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 64 51 43 38 34 32 35 41 43 40 33 31 30 38 50 53 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 44 29 54
WIND DIR SW W W W SW W W W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 13 17 16 19 31 31 24 19 16 12 10 10 10 9 11 18 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 54 41
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 20 40 70 40 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R T R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.1 10.6 10.7 8.1 7.1 5.6 5.4 6.3 6.8 6.7 6.2 5.6 4.9 5.3 6.9 7.9 7.8
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV BK OV OV BK SC FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 70 70 55 85 80 70 30 20 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 5
TEMPERATURE 64 51 42 38 34 31 35 41 43 40 32 30 28 37 50 53 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 44 28 54
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W W W NW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 13 20 17 20 32 33 24 19 16 12 10 9 10 9 10 18 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 58 58
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 20 30 60 30 30 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.1 10.6 10.7 8.4 7.1 5.7 5.5 6.3 6.8 6.7 6.1 5.6 4.9 5.3 7.0 7.9 7.8
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK SC OV OV SC FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 50 55 45 70 70 35 10 10 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 70 56 46 41 38 36 41 48 50 47 38 34 32 39 54 58 59
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 51 32 60
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W NW NW NW N NE N W W W
WIND (MPH) 12 12 8 12 14 16 14 12 11 8 2 2 2 1 4 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 20 20 40 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE T R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.9 10.9 10.4 7.9 6.9 5.7 5.5 6.2 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.0 6.1 7.2 8.0 7.9
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK OV OV BK SC FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 65 65 65 85 85 55 35 20 15 5 5 5 0 0 0 5
TEMPERATURE 60 52 47 43 40 35 35 40 42 41 36 35 33 40 49 51 51
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 43 33 52
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W NW SW SE W W W W
WIND (MPH) 13 18 16 19 26 26 21 18 13 12 11 10 11 9 10 17 19
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 50 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 20 50 90 40 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R T R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.1 10.7 10.6 8.0 6.9 5.6 5.4 6.2 6.8 6.7 6.2 5.8 5.3 5.6 7.0 7.8 7.8
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV BK OV OV BK SC FW FW FW CL CL CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 70 70 70 90 90 65 45 25 20 5 5 5 0 0 0 5
TEMPERATURE 60 52 46 43 39 34 35 39 42 41 36 34 32 40 48 51 50
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 43 32 51
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W W S SE W W W W
WIND (MPH) 12 18 16 18 28 28 23 18 14 12 11 11 11 10 11 18 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 20 50 90 40 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R T R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.2 10.7 10.6 8.1 7.0 5.6 5.3 6.1 6.8 6.6 6.1 5.5 5.0 5.3 6.9 7.8 7.7
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 05/13/26 THURSDAY 05/14/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC SC BK SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 55 45 45 55 50 10 10 5 10 10 10 15 5 0 0 0
TEMPERATURE 61 52 49 44 42 42 42 45 46 45 40 37 36 43 51 54 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 47 36 54
WIND DIR NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW NW N N N NE N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 13 18 19 19 19 21 20 18 16 17 11 10 10 9 10 13 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 10 20 20 10 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.4 11.2 9.8 7.6 6.5 5.6 5.6 6.3 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.4 7.4 8.0 8.1
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page