104
FNUS76 KMFR 272035
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR CASTLE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
135 PM PDT MON JUL 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 PDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH
BREEZY TO LOCALLY GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
BASED OFF DATA FROM THE BUCKEYE RAWS STATION. THE WILDFIRE WILL
SEE LIGHT EASTERLY DRAINAGE WINDS OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY TREND HIGHER BY FRIDAY. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA IN SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK
BUT THERE IS VERY LITTLE TO NO CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION OR
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SPOT LOCATION.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY WITH SMOKE.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST TO SOUTH WEST LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST TO SOUTH WEST AROUND
3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....PTY ARS ARS DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............73 75 76 77 77 77
RH..............37 34 32 31 31 32
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 8 10 10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 1
EYE LVL WND GST.2 3 3 3 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 5.0 5.6 5.8 6.0 5.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 10 8
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR WITH AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE
EVENING, THEN SMOKE OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT
EASTERLY DRAINAGE WINDS.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT
EASTERLY DRAINAGE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE EAST 2 TO 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....DEF ARS ARS PTY PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............77 74 71 65 63 61 60 59 57 55 54 53
RH..............31 35 43 49 55 59 64 70 74 77 83 85
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 8 6 4 2 2 2 2 2 2
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW N N N N N E E E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W N N N N N E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 2 2 2 3
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY WITH AREAS OF SMOKE.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS, THEN BECOMING WEST 2 TO 3 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT EASTERLY DRAINAGE WINDS EARLY, THEN BECOMING
WEST 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....PTY ARS ARS ARS PTY PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 55 57 60 65 68 71 74 74 75 78 78
RH..............71 68 63 58 52 47 45 41 37 36 36 34
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E VRB VRB W W W W W W NW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.2 1 2 2 4 6 6 6 7 8 8 10
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E VRB VRB W W W W W W NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SW SW SW W W W W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 8
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...KEN POWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618425.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KEN_POWELL@FIRENET.GOV,CAMERON.STINCHFIELD@USDA.GOV
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