730  
FNUS76 KMFR 252122  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOUNTAIN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
222 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 PDT ON AUGUST 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM PDT WEDNESDAY  
 
   
..FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM PDT THURSDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
DEEP MIXING THIS AFTERNOON WILL START TO DIMINISH  
AROUND 8PM AS AN INVERSION STARTS TO DEVELOP AND STRENGTHEN  
OVERNIGHT. THIS INVERSION WILL LIKELY BE IN PLACE UNTIL ABOUT 10AM  
ON WEDNESDAY WHEN MIXING STARTS. WE WILL HAVE OVERNIGHT  
RECOVERIES AROUND 50 PERCENT TONIGHT. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE  
NOTED BY DEEP MIXING, STRONG WINDS, AND LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITIES  
WHICH WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A RED FLAG  
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE CRITICAL CONDITIONS. A FIRE  
WEATHER WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA ON THURSDAY WHEN  
CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED FOR A COMBINATION OF  
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 2  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST UP TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS  
UP TO 20 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTS AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...GUERRERO  
REQUESTED BY...NICK BANKS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2620516.0/MFR  
.DELDT 08/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MODOCECC@GMAIL.COM  
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