469  
FNUS76 KMFR 212209  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WASHINGTON MTN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
309 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN  
SHOWERS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY ACROSS MODOC THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME, THUNDER  
CHANCES LOOK LOW, LESS THAN 10%. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD BRING WETTING  
RAINFALL TO MOST AREAS. SHOWERS LINGER INTO THURSDAY EVENING, THEN  
THINGS DRY OUT RATHER QUICKLY FRIDAY WITH ANY CLOUDS AND A FROSTY  
MORNING GIVING WAY TO SUNSHINE. DRY WEATHER WITH COLD MORNINGS AND  
SUNNY AFTERNOONS IS EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH A 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS. HIGHEST PROBABILITY AFTER 2 PM.  
RAIN AMOUNT: 0.10-0.20".  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.9 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE OR SE 0-2 MPH EARLY, THEN SW 1-3 MPH  
AROUND 1000-1100, BECOMING WNW 3-8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SE 1-4 MPH EARLY, THEN SW 3-8 MPH AROUND 1000-1100  
BECOMING WNW 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10 INCREASING TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................69 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH AN 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE EVENING, ENDING BY LATE EVENING. WIDESPREAD  
FROST AFTER 3 AM. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.01-0.10".  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.8 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW 3-8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NW 8-14 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. WINDS EASE  
TOWARD MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING 500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 15-25 MPH.  
CWR.................48 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........EARLY CLOUDS AND/OR FROST; OTHERWISE, BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW 3-8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NNW 6-12 MPH WITH PEAK GUSTS TO ABOUT 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NNW 15-20 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...AMANDA SHOAF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2624276.0/MFR  
.DELDT 10/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AMANDA.SHOAF@USDA.GOV  
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