683
FNUS76 KMFR 220006
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR SNOWMANS UNDERBURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
506 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME,
THUNDER CHANCES LOOK LOW, LESS THAN 10%. THESE SHOWERS (WHERE THEY
OCCUR) SHOULD BRING WETTING RAINFALL. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LINGERS
INTO THURSDAY EVENING, THEN THINGS DRY OUT RATHER QUICKLY FRIDAY
WITH A FROSTY MORNING GIVING WAY TO SUNSHINE. DRY WEATHER WITH COLD
MORNINGS AND SUNNY AFTERNOONS IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AND PROBABLY
MONDAY, THOUGH A SYSTEM COULD ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHWEST MONDAY OR
TUESDAY. STILL UNCERTAIN THOUGH.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY AND COOLER WITH A 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. PROBABLY WON'T RAIN ALL DAY (BREAK 0800-
1100?). RAIN AMOUNT 0.10-0.20".
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.8 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE OR E 0-1 MPH BECOMING WSW 1-3 MPH, SHIFTING
TO N LATE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........E 1-4 MPH BECOMING WSW 3-7 MPH. PEAK GUSTS TO 13 MPH.
WINDS SHIFT TO N LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 7-12 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50% CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD
FROST AFTER 3 AM. RAIN AMOUNT: TRACE-0.02".
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.5 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-34.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....N 0-2 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........N 1-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING SUNNY. WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NNW 1-3 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
SUNNY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...HANNE MEYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623916.3/MFR
.DELDT 10/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL HANNE.MEYERS@USDA.GOV,RAMON.MOTA@USDA.GOV
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