465  
FNUS76 KMFR 220140  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CMH...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
640 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN  
SHOWERS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME,  
THUNDER CHANCES ARE SLIGHT (~15%). THESE SHOWERS SHOULD BRING WETTING  
RAINFALL TO MOST AREAS. SHOWERS LINGER INTO THURSDAY EVENING, THEN  
THINGS DRY OUT RATHER QUICKLY FRIDAY WITH ANY CLOUDS AND A FROSTY  
MORNING GIVING WAY TO SUNSHINE. DRY WEATHER WITH COLD MORNINGS AND  
SUNNY AFTERNOONS IS EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH A 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
SLIGHT CHANCE (15%) OF A THUNDERSTORM. HIGHEST  
PROBABILITY AFTER 2 PM. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.15-0.30".  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH BECOMING SW 2-5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO NW 3-5 PM.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BECOMING SW 5-11 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO NW 3-5 PM. GUSTS TO 19 MPH.  
ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10-20 MPH.  
CWR.................80 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH AN 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
IN THE EVENING. RAIN AMOUNT: 0.10-0.20". SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. COLDER.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW UP TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 9 MPH IN THE  
EVENING, THEN 2-5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NW 6-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 24 MPH IN THE  
EVENING, THEN 4-9 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 15-25 MPH.  
CWR.................74 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING CLOUDS; OTHERWISE, BECOMING SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29-33 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW 2-5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 7 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NW 6-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 15-20 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...JOSE J. CASTILLO JR.  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623950.4/MFR  
.DELDT 10/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RUSSEL.GRIFFITH@USDA.GOV,JOSE.CASTILLO@USDA.GOV,SCOTT.HAVEL@USDA.GOV  
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