800
FNUS76 KMFR 220214
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRWUI...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
714 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME, THUNDER CHANCES
LOOK LOW, LESS THAN 10%. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD BRING A DECENT SHOT AT
WETTING RAINFALL. SHOWERS LIKELY LINGER INTO THURSDAY EVENING, THEN
THINGS DRY OUT RATHER QUICKLY OVERNIGHT WITH ANY CLOUDS AND A FROSTY
MORNING FRIDAY GIVING WAY TO SUNSHINE. DRY WEATHER WITH COLD MORNINGS
AND SUNNY AFTERNOONS IS EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY, THOUGH A
SYSTEM COULD ARRIVE MONDAY OR TUESDAY. STILL PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY
THEN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH A 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHEST PROBABILITY AFTER 2 PM. RAIN AMOUNT:
0.10-0.20".
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE OR SW 0-2 MPH BECOMING W 1-4 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN NW 3-7 MPH TOWARD EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE OR SW 1-4 MPH BECOMING W 4-9 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO NW 8-14 MPH BY EVENING. GUSTS
TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON, SHIFTING TO NW LATE.
CWR.................65 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH A 60% CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING, THEN PARTIAL CLEARING AND COLDER. RAIN
AMOUNT: TRACE-0.10".
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....N 3-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH, EASING TO 1-3 MPH
TOWARD MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........N 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH, EASING TO
5-10 MPH TOWARD MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NNW 15-25 MPH.
CWR.................39 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........EARLY CLOUDS; OTHERWISE, BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW 3-8 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NNW 6-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NNW 15-20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...JOSE J. CASTILLO JR.
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623951.4/MFR
.DELDT 10/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSE.CASTILLO@USDA.GOV,MICHELLE.HENRY@USDA.GOV
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