174
FNUS76 KMFR 220345
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR SODA FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
845 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CLOUDS WILL THICKEN OVERNIGHT AND REMAIN CLOUDY ON
THURSDAY. LIGHT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH A TOTAL OF
AROUND 0.07 INCHES. A CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS WILL LINGER THURSDAY
NIGHT BEFORE SKIES CLEAR AFTER SUNRISE ON FRIDAY. ONLY HIGH CLOUDS
ARE LIKELY DURING THE WEEKEND WITH A MUCH DRIER AIR MASS. MODERATE
HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS LIKELY ON SATURDAY MORNING AND POOR RECOVERY
ON SUNDAY MORNING.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 2 MPH OVERNIGHT BECOMING
LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 12 PERCENT EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
TIME (PDT) MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0
TEMP............54 52
RH..............38 44
20 FT WIND......N 5G7 N 4G6
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 2G3 N 1G2
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8 NE 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
SHOWERS. ACCUMULATION OF 0.07 INCHES.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 2 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 49 51 53
RH..............50 59 63 58
20 FT WIND......N 3G6 N 4G6 N 6G10 NW 7G12
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 1G2 N 1G2 N 2G4 NW 3G5
MIX HGT (FT)....500 700 1800 2700
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6 N 6 NW 9 NW 15
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLOUDY (85-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 8 MPH
IN THE EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 5 5 3
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 46 44 41
RH..............56 62 68 76
20 FT WIND......NW 6G12 NW 6G10 NW 8G12 N 9G14
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 2G5 NW 2G4 NW 3G5 N 3G6
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 900 600 1000
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15 NW 14 N 14 N 13
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING SUNNY BY 8 AM (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 2 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............37 36 35 36 38 41 43 46 47 49 49 48
RH..............65 67 67 60 51 41 35 30 28 27 28 31
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 6
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 13 13 13 12 12 12 13 13 13 9
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...JASON GUTZWA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2624018.2/MFR
.DELDT 10/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JASON.GUTZWA@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page