730
FNUS72 KMHX 081343
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR MF TRAINING AREA...USMC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
843 AM EST WED JAN 8 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.
DISCUSSION.
THE PRIMARY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
AND NORTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE, AND BECOME GUSTY, AS A
REINFORCING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT, THEN PEAK DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY, WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 20-25 MPH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........MAX 46805 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 2.
ADI.................MAX 45.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SFC PRESSURE........30.04 TO 30.19 INHG.
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2 1 1 1 3 3 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............37 40 42 42 43 42 40
RH..............40 36 31 31 30 33 36
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.7 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 10 13 10
LVORI...........2 2 2 1 1 1 2
ADI.............22 25 27 33 37 45 25
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.19 23 25 33 39 47 20
SFC PRES (IN)...019 017 014 011 007 005 004
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENT RATE...........MIN 3564 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 3.
ADI.................MIN 4.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SFC PRESSURE........30.04 TO 30.06 INHG.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........14 18 25 28 30 27 21 17 9 3 1 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............36 34 31 30 29 28 26 25 24 24 22 21
RH..............43 47 53 55 58 58 62 65 65 62 68 68
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST. 9 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 12 12 10 13 13 14 15 15 16
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3
ADI.............4 5 5 8 8 7 8 8 9 10 10 11
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 4 4 5 4 6 6 6 8 9 11
SFC PRES (IN)...005 005 005 006 006 005 005 005 004 004 005 006
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
VENT RATE...........MAX 95679 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 3.
ADI.................MAX 66.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SFC PRESSURE........30.08 TO 30.15 INHG.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............22 22 25 28 30 33 35 37 38 38 37 35
RH..............65 65 57 50 46 41 36 33 32 32 35 38
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 20 22 24 23 22 21 24 23 18 15
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............13 14 38 47 60 63 62 58 66 61 48 44
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 14 30 53 78 89 92 86 96 85 66 39
SFC PRES (IN)...008 010 012 014 015 014 012 010 009 009 009 010
FORECASTER...MARTIN
REQUESTED BY...BARRETT BAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500250.0/MHX
.DELDT 01/08/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NORTON.BAKER@USMC.MIL
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