072
FNUS72 KMHX 131251
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR DAVIS TRACT #2...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
851 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.
DISCUSSION.
HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS FAIR, DRY WEATHER TO ENC TODAY. SEA BREEZE
PUSHES THROUGH AROUND 1-2 PM WITH A MINOR WIND SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST
TO MORE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST, AND WINDS INCREASE FROM 5-10 MPH TO 10-15
MPH BEHIND IT. MARINE INFLUENCE ALLOWS FOR LOW-LEVEL INVERSION TO
LINGER THROUGH THE DAY, WITH ELEVATED SW WINDS 15-25 KNOTS AT AROUND
2000 FT PERSISTING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THIS RESULTS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE WIND PROFILE, TYPE I-F. MIN RH'S OF 40-50% EXPECTED NEAR THE
COAST THIS AFTERNOON AFTER SEA BREEZE PASSAGE. WINDS REMAIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST
THROUGH THE DAY, QUICKLY SHIFTING TO NORTHEASTERLY 5-15 MPH BEHIND A
BACK DOOR COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW STRATUS
AND FOG CHANCES INCREASE BEHIND THE BACK DOOR COLD FRONT TONIGHT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS
UP TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........MAX 24609 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 4.
ADI.................MAX 32.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
SFC PRESSURE........29.90 TO 29.95 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........31 39 46 55 67 67 65 56 56
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............60 64 67 68 69 70 70 70 70
RH..............81 73 63 57 55 51 46 51 55
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 9 12 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.9 14 14 14 14 14 16 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 16 16 17 18 20 18
LVORI...........4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 2
ADI.............16 16 22 27 27 30 31 32 27
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.9 14 18 21 21 24 24 25 21
SFC PRES (IN)...994 995 995 994 994 993 992 991 990
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6
MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO
6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
VENT RATE...........MIN 2070 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 6.
ADI.................MIN 2.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
SFC PRESSURE........29.91 TO 29.98 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........63 71 73 75 69 67 60 52 46 44 44 46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66 62 61 60 59 58 57 56 55 54 53 52
RH..............65 75 78 81 83 90 93 93 93 90 89 93
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW N E E N N
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 6 5 3 2 2 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.14 9 9 9 9 9 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W SW N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 16 16 15 13 10 8 6 6 5 6
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
ADI.............13 14 11 11 10 8 5 4 3 3 2 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.9 7 7 7 7 6 4 3 3 2 2 3
SFC PRES (IN)...991 992 994 995 995 996 996 997 997 997 997 998
FORECASTER...CHALMERS
REQUESTED BY...D4 OPS ROOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506340.0/MHX
.DELDT 03/13/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL D4OPSRM@NCAGR.GOV
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