421  
FNUS72 KMHX 121340  
FWSMHX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SWEETGUM FIELD...GOOSE CREEK STATE PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  
940 AM EDT FRI SEP 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.  
   
DISCUSSION.
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED IN THE NORTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND  
S'WARDS INTO THE CAROLINAS TODAY AND ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL PROMOTE  
STEADY N-NE'RLY FLOW AT 5 TO 10 MPH DURING THE DAY AND LIGHT WINDS  
AT NIGHT. GUSTS EACH AFTERNOON COULD GET UP NEAR 15-20 MPH AT TIMES.  
OTHERWISE IT WILL REMAIN DRY ACROSS THE BURN AREA WITH HUMIDITIES  
REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 40S IN THE AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
15 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 73140 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 1.  
ADI.................MAX 66.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.07 TO 30.11 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........46 51 56 61 65 67 61  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............76 77 79 80 80 80 79  
RH..............64 60 54 52 51 49 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 9 10 10 10 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 15 18 18 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 4.2 4.5 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 16 15 16 15 16  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............62 66 64 61 64 58 61  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.65 72 73 71 73 64 66  
SFC PRES (IN)...011 011 010 009 008 007 007  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MIN 4140 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 6.  
ADI.................MIN 4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.03 TO 30.09 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........53 50 18 13 13 10 10 21 10 15 22 30  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............77 73 71 68 67 66 64 64 63 62 61 61  
RH..............52 59 63 73 75 75 81 84 84 87 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 15 14 10 10 9 9 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 14 13 12 12 10 10 9 9 10 10 10  
LVORI...........1 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6  
ADI.............43 6 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 5 5  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.34 9 7 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 5 5  
SFC PRES (IN)...007 007 008 008 009 009 008 007 006 005 004 003  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 83145 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 7.  
ADI.................MAX 70.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.00 TO 30.06 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........31 37 35 26 35 44 46 47 49 47 44 42  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............60 60 63 67 71 74 77 79 80 80 80 79  
RH..............96 96 93 87 76 66 58 52 51 49 47 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 8 9 11 11 13 13 13 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 12 12 14 18 18 18 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.6 2.1 3.4 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.0 4.7 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 16 17 17 17 16 15 15 15 15  
LVORI...........7 5 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............5 12 13 41 60 70 69 66 64 62 60 58  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 5 8 33 60 82 83 81 80 75 70 66  
SFC PRES (IN)...003 004 004 005 006 006 005 004 002 001 000 000  
 

 
FORECASTER...FUCHECK  
REQUESTED BY...JOE MARTIN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2521862.0/MHX  
.DELDT 09/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.MARTIN@NCPARKS.GOV  
 
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