715  
FNUS72 KMHX 171344  
FWSMHX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LUX FARMS BURN...NCFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  
944 AM EDT TUE MAR 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
BEHIND LAST NIGHT'S FRONT, COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE  
BUILDS INTO THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE REST OF THE WEEK.  
NW WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH THIS MORNING  
INTO EARLY AFTERNOON, BECOMING W 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
15 MPH. MIN RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 30 PERCENT THIS  
AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS AND DRY FOR WEDNESDAY.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH  
THIS MORNING, BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 80270 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 2.  
ADI.................MAX 93.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
SFC PRESSURE........29.90 TO 30.06 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 3 5 27 8 4 10 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 46 48 49 50 50 50 50  
RH..............46 40 35 34 33 33 33 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 10 10 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 15 15 14 14 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.4 4.7 5.1 5.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 16 15 15 15 15 15 16  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............60 55 53 55 77 82 88 93  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.56 54 54 59 65 70 77 80  
SFC PRES (IN)...005 006 006 006 004 003 003 003  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH OVERNIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........MIN 7474 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 4.  
ADI.................MIN 4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.05 TO 30.29 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........21 39 37 24 8 11 9 4 1 6 14 18  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............49 45 42 41 39 37 36 35 34 33 32 31  
RH..............34 40 44 46 50 56 59 61 66 69 72 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 2.3 1.3 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 12 10 9 9 10 13 12 13 14 12 12  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4  
ADI.............89 5 5 4 4 5 6 5 6 6 5 5  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.76 26 14 7 10 16 18 13 10 13 12 16  
SFC PRES (IN)...005 009 012 016 020 022 023 024 024 025 027 029  
 
 
FORECASTER...DAIL  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN SIMPSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606042.0/MHX  
.DELDT 03/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KEVIN.SIMPSON@NCAGR.GOV  
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