415
FNUS72 KMHX 180827
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR C 38 WISHBONE RDS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
427 AM EDT WED MAR 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.
DISCUSSION
SFC WINDS AND VERTICAL WIND PROFILE ARE VERY MARGINAL TODAY.
FIRST THING THIS MORNING, A 20-25KT WIND MAX OCCURS
~1500FT AGL, AND WINDS DECREASE WITH HEIGHT THROUGH ~4KFT
AGL WITH A MINIMUM WIND SPEED AROUND 4KFT OF LESS THAN 5KT
(PROFILE TYPE I-F). BY LATE MORNING, THE WIND MAX ERODES
WITH WINDS BECOMING 10KT OR LESS THROUGH 4.5-5KFT. HOWEVER,
ONCE THE 1K-2KFT AGL WIND MAX ERODES, THE SFC WINDS BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS AFTERNOON (LESS THAN 5KT WITH
BACKGROUND WIND FIELD BECOMING GENERALLY NEERLY).
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN LOW THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. MIN RH VALUES WILL AVERAGE 30-50 PERCENT
THROUGH LATE WEEK WITH LIGHT WINDS. TEMPS WILL GRADUALLY
WARM TOWARDS NORMAL BY LATE WEEK.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........MAX 29094 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 2.
ADI.................MAX 35.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
SFC PRESSURE........30.27 TO 30.37 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........36 51 59 54 43 38 40 43 45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............33 38 42 45 48 50 51 51 51
RH..............61 52 46 41 37 34 33 33 34
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 4 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.0 2.6 3.2 3.9 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 14 9 8 7 6 6 6 6
LVORI...........1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............33 35 27 27 32 31 32 33 34
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.26 27 24 26 27 26 28 29 29
SFC PRES (IN)...035 036 037 036 035 033 030 028 027
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
VENT RATE...........MIN 2530 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 6.
ADI.................MIN 3.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
SFC PRESSURE........30.24 TO 30.29 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........44 42 40 43 49 52 47 38 33 28 19 14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............50 46 44 42 40 38 37 36 35 34 33 32
RH..............37 47 53 60 67 73 75 82 85 85 89 92
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E NE NE NE NE NE NE N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N NE N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 7 7 6
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 6 6
ADI.............21 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.18 5 5 6 6 4 5 4 4 4 3 3
SFC PRES (IN)...027 027 028 028 029 028 028 028 027 026 025 024
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........MAX 36225 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 8.
ADI.................MAX 45.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
SFC PRESSURE........30.12 TO 30.25 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........12 6 7 9 12 22
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............31 33 45 53 57 59
RH..............96 85 53 39 35 34
20 FT WIND......N 2 NE 2 NE 5 N 6 N 4 N 1
20 FT WIND GUST. 5
MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 2100 3300 4100 4200
TRANSPORT WIND..N 7 N 6 N 10 N 10 N 7 N 5
LVORI...........8 4 2 1 1 2
ADI.............3 6 28 42 34 27
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 22 35 29 22
SFC PRES (IN)...30.24 30.24 30.24 30.23 30.19 30.14
FORECASTER...BOWEN
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606179.0/MHX
.DELDT 03/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID.L.NELSON@USDA.GOV
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