899  
FNUS72 KMHX 181243  
FWSMHX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OPERATION RESOLUTE BURN...NCFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  
843 AM EDT WED MAR 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SFC WINDS AND VERTICAL WIND PROFILE ARE VERY MARGINAL TODAY  
AND ARE BORDERLINE "UNFAVORABLE." THROUGH THE BULK OF THE DAY,  
WIND SPEEDS DECREASE WITH HEIGHT FROM 1.5-4.5KFT AGL (VERTICAL  
PROFILE I-C).  
 
LIGHT N-NE WINDS THIS MORNING, BECOMING NE 5-10 MPH BY LATE  
MORNING. MIN RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 35 PERCENT THIS  
AFTERNOON.  
 
COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE NEXT  
SEVERAL DAYS. MIN RH VALUES WILL AVERAGE 30-40 PERCENT  
THROUGH LATE WEEK WITH LIGHT WINDS. TEMPS WILL GRADUALLY  
WARM TOWARDS NORMAL BY LATE WEEK.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY, BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING, BECOMING  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 48299 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 4.  
ADI.................MAX 50.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.27 TO 30.39 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........55 67 73 69 59 54 49 39 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............35 37 40 43 45 47 48 48 48  
RH..............65 61 57 49 43 40 39 39 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 5 4 3 3 4 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 3.2 4.0 4.7 5.2 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E NE NE NE N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 15 12 8 7 5 5 5 5  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............46 50 43 32 41 29 29 28 27  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.39 48 46 38 36 26 26 25 24  
SFC PRES (IN)...035 037 038 039 038 037 036 034 032  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST.  
VENT RATE...........MIN 3104 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 8.  
ADI.................MIN 3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.28 TO 30.34 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........36 42 44 42 39 37 34 27 23 22 21 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............47 44 42 40 39 37 36 35 34 33 33 32  
RH..............42 51 57 64 67 75 79 82 85 89 89 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 10 9 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 7  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 8  
ADI.............32 6 7 6 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.26 12 8 5 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 3  
SFC PRES (IN)...032 032 033 033 033 034 033 032 031 030 029 028  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 31854 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 9.  
ADI.................MAX 39.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.17 TO 30.29 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 8 12 14  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............31 31 33 39 45 49 52 53 54 55 55 55  
RH..............100 100 92 73 58 48 43 41 40 38 40 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 4 5 5 5 4 3 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.5 1.4 2.3 3.0 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.5 3.9 3.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 9 9 9 7 6 5 5 5  
LVORI...........9 8 6 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............3 7 7 15 26 34 39 31 28 24 20 20  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 3 11 21 27 32 26 23 20 17 16  
SFC PRES (IN)...028 028 029 029 029 029 028 026 023 021 019 017  
 

 
FORECASTER...DAIL  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN SIMPSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606274.0/MHX  
.DELDT 03/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KEVIN.SIMPSON@NCAGR.GOV  
 
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