401
FNUS72 KMHX 071107
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSE BAY CANAL FIRE...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
707 AM EDT SUN JUN 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JUNE 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.
DISCUSSION
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO CONDITIONS
EXPERIENCED AROUND THE FIRE AREA YESTERDAY. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE
TODAY IS THAT THE SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY
STRONGER THAN YESTERDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH A NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHIFT.
THE MOST LIKELY ARRIVAL TIME OF THE NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHIFT IS
BETWEEN 6AM - 8AM MONDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WON'T BE AS HOT
BEHIND THE FRONT, AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WON'T BE AS LOW.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........MAX 110054 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 3.
ADI.................MAX 121.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
SFC PRESSURE........29.89 TO 29.99 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........26 28 23 25 22 22 21 20 17 20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............73 77 81 84 87 89 90 91 92 91
RH..............81 71 63 57 52 47 45 44 43 47
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 11
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 14 14 14 14 14 14 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.5 2.0 2.8 3.7 5.2 6.2 6.4 4.8 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 17 17 17 16 17 17 18
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............29 33 45 60 76 103 110 121 70 62
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.22 26 35 48 63 90 99 110 83 61
SFC PRES (IN)...999 998 998 997 996 995 994 992 990 989
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 10 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
VENT RATE...........MIN 3449 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 4.
ADI.................MIN 4.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
SFC PRESSURE........29.89 TO 29.97 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........26 35 44 39 41 46 51 40 36 47 37 30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............89 86 84 81 79 78 77 76 76 75 74 74
RH..............50 55 61 67 72 71 74 76 76 76 79 79
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 10 10 9 8 7 7 6 5 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 14 14 14 14 14 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 17 17 16 14 13 12 10 9 8 8
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4
ADI.............46 15 15 12 14 12 11 8 5 6 4 4
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.38 17 9 10 9 7 6 5 5 5 4 3
SFC PRES (IN)...989 990 991 993 995 996 996 996 996 996 996 997
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, BECOMING
NORTHEAST BY MID-MORNING AND INCREASING TO 10
TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 10 TO
15 MPH BY MID-MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO
15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........MAX 53589 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 4.
ADI.................MAX 55.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
SFC PRESSURE........29.99 TO 30.15 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........19 12 18 21 17 16 10 10 10 1 1 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74 75 77 79 82 83 84 84 83 83 81 80
RH..............79 79 76 74 67 63 61 59 59 57 60 62
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 4 5 7 9 10 11 11 12 11
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 9 9 9 14 14 14 14 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW N NE NE NE NE NE NE E E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 8 10 12 14 14 15 15 16 16 17
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............3 6 13 25 37 51 54 50 50 55 54 53
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 10 19 28 41 44 48 48 54 53 48
SFC PRES (IN)...999 001 004 006 008 009 011 011 012 013 014 015
FORECASTER...JAIN
REQUESTED BY...D13
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614952.3/MHX
.DELDT 06/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL D13OPSRM@NCAGR.GOV
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