907
FNUS72 KMHX 071844
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSE BAY FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
244 PM EDT SUN JUN 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 EDT ON JUNE 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.
DISCUSSION
NEARBY OBSERVATIONS SHOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 90S AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AROUND 45% AS OF 2:30 PM LOCAL TIME. TEMPERATURE AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT THIS LEVEL THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE BEEN GUSTING TO AROUND 15 MPH,
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 4 PM. TONIGHT AFTER
SUNSET WINDS OVER THE SPOT FORECAST AREA DECREASE TO 5 MPH.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND WEAK THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
SPOT LOCATION TONIGHT (10-15%). MONDAY MORNING, A DRY COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH BETWEEN 6-8 AM. WINDS WILL SWITCH FROM
LIGHT SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT TO NORTH BECOMING
NORTHEAST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. GUSTIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS, BUT GUSTS SHOULD BE CAPPED AT
20-25 MPH OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. TEMPERATURES WON'T BE AS HOT BEHIND
THE FRONT, AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WON'T BE AS LOW DESPITE THE
DECREASING DEWPOINTS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENT RATE...........MAX 100394 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 1.
ADI.................MAX 111.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
SFC PRESSURE........29.89 TO 29.90 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........12 17 20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............91 91 91
RH..............44 45 45
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.2 6.0 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16
LVORI...........1 1 1
ADI.............111 107 74
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.100 96 62
SFC PRES (IN)...990 989 989
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
VENT RATE...........MIN 3219 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 5.
ADI.................MIN 3.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
SFC PRESSURE........29.89 TO 29.99 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........28 28 32 36 54 49 48 45 49 56 53 52
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........ SCH
TEMP............88 85 83 80 78 77 76 75 75 74 73 73
RH..............50 57 61 67 71 74 76 76 76 79 81 81
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 9 8 7 5 4 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 18 14 9 9 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 16 17 16 15 14 13 12 10 8 7
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5
ADI.............47 11 11 12 14 10 9 6 5 5 4 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.37 16 8 9 8 7 6 6 6 5 4 3
SFC PRES (IN)...989 989 990 992 993 995 996 996 997 997 998 999
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 10
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........MAX 57499 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 5.
ADI.................MAX 61.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
SFC PRESSURE........30.01 TO 30.16 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........43 35 46 33 28 9 1 2 2 1 5 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74 75 77 78 80 82 83 83 83 82 81 79
RH..............82 79 76 74 69 63 59 57 55 56 56 60
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 2 4 6 8 9 10 11 11 11 10
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 14 14 18 18 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.0 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 9 12 14 14 16 17 17 17 17 17
LVORI...........5 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............3 7 13 27 37 43 61 59 57 58 55 54
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 10 21 29 34 49 57 55 56 51 49
SFC PRES (IN)...001 003 005 007 009 010 011 012 013 014 015 016
FORECASTER...JAIN
REQUESTED BY...PSC3
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2615123.0/MHX
.DELDT 06/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NCFS.IMT.PLANS@NCAGR.GOV
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