627
FNUS72 KMHX 081833
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSE BAY FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
233 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 EDT ON JUNE 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH ENC TODAY, WHICH HAS CAUSED A WIND
SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH.
WINDS WILL RELAX TO AROUND 10-15 MPH TONIGHT BUT WILL REMAIN OUT
OF THE NORTHEAST THROUGH MID-MORNING TUESDAY. MINIMUM RHS WILL BE
SLIGHTLY LOWER TOMORROW (LOW TO MID 50S PERCENT) AS A DRIER AIR
MASS BUILDS IN BEHIND TODAY'S FRONT. A SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND MOISTENING
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY, INCREASING RHS TO THE
UPPER 50S PERCENT. THE PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 16 TO 17 MPH.
VENT RATE...........MAX 51634 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 1.
ADI.................MAX 55.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
SFC PRESSURE........30.14 TO 30.16 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5 10 13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............81 79 77
RH..............58 62 67
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.0 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 17
LVORI...........1 1 1
ADI.............51 55 53
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.48 52 49
SFC PRES (IN)...014 015 016
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
VENT RATE...........MIN 3334 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 9.
ADI.................MIN 5.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
SFC PRESSURE........30.17 TO 30.23 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........26 47 58 64 75 81 77 71 68 64 55 51
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75 74 72 70 69 67 66 65 65 64 63 62
RH..............69 71 73 78 81 84 87 90 90 93 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 8 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 9 9 9 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.4 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 15 15 14 14 13 12 10 8 8 8 7
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 9 9
ADI.............49 20 20 15 9 8 8 7 5 5 5 5
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.43 36 31 26 26 24 23 18 7 4 4 3
SFC PRES (IN)...017 018 018 019 021 022 022 023 023 023 023 023
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........MAX 22655 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 9.
ADI.................MAX 28.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
SFC PRESSURE........30.17 TO 30.25 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........57 70 76 77 80 81 75 64 58 60 63 65
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............62 64 67 70 73 76 78 80 81 81 81 81
RH..............100 100 93 84 73 66 60 56 54 54 56 56
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E E SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 7 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.5 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.3 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 8 7 6 6 5 6 7 7 8
LVORI...........9 8 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............5 7 13 24 22 18 19 20 24 28 28 28
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 3 10 19 18 17 19 17 20 23 23 23
SFC PRES (IN)...024 024 025 025 025 025 024 023 022 020 019 017
FORECASTER...CAHILL
REQUESTED BY...PSC3
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2615123.1/MHX
.DELDT 06/08/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NCFS.IMT.PLANS@NCAGR.GOV
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